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goldLatest market analysis:
黄金消息面解析:上周金价势将录得上涨。金价上周上涨,主要因市场对全球经济增长放缓的担忧不断升温,这激发了黄金的避险需求。同时,市场对美联储6月大幅度升息75基点的预期降温,使得金价走出一波释然性的回升。全球经济放缓的担忧情绪加剧,支持避险黄金。市场对美联储6月大幅度加息75基点的预期降温,支持了金价反弹。有部分市场人士认为美联储很可能在6月的议息会议上加息75基点,这种预期一致给金价压力。不过本周,在美联储主席鲍威尔再度发表50基点的加息言论之后,这种预期即可消散,侧面支持了金价。另外,美联储最鹰派官员对加息75基点避而不谈,声称美国经济表现良好。美联储布拉德表示,他支持美联储在未来几次会议上加息50个基点的计划,认为这将有助于降低处于近四十年高位的通胀率。展望本周,投资者需要关注美联储5月货币政策会议纪要,同时美国方面还有一系列重要数据公布,当然地缘局势变化,美联储官员讲话投资者也要留意。
从技术上来看:
今早盘,金子王炸开局冲高1857 一线后基本是秒杀,从一点也说明此位的压制大抛盘也大,但是这也说明不了价格会马上反转,只是遇强压后的一次正常调整,也就是说趋势多不变,而日图至探底回升,在加速线这里企稳出多大阳上涨后,目前来看来多头趋势并没有发生明显的改变,短期上方重点强压在一线和上线这里,到达这里才会真正出现转折,而四小时图早盘冲高在一线压制后下行,目前来看重点看换线能否收复这个下跌局面,一旦收复不了,有望走一波四小时级别的调整,而小时图冲高回落后上升格局没有任何变化,短期如果走四小时级的空,一定要观察小时图的二次转折,一旦转折小时图一定会把四小时拉成空头,其次就是连续五周周一都是大跌,在上周一形成了探底回升,所以对于这今天的行情个人观点会走冲高回落,破位预期对于周一也跑不远了,而下方重点是小时图下线和趋势线支撑,所以综合得出结论:冲高回落只是修正,日图多不变,但是小周期上行太快有明显修正的迹像,同时周图空档压制。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议回调低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1855-1860Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1825Frontline support.
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