指南金师：下周黄金走势分析，多头1850受阻，空头随时归...

　　goldMessage surface:

Gold price on Friday(5month20day)小幅上涨，并录得4月中以来首周上涨。美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1846.22element/Ounces, up4.22USD or0.23%The highest daily hit1849.33dollar/Ounces, lowest touch1832.20dollar/盎司。本周，现货黄金上涨34.81USD or1.92%。本周，16A Wall Street analyst participatedKitco的黄金调查。在参与者中，有12Analysts(75%)预计金价下周将上涨。与此同时，1Analysts(6%)对近期金价持悲观看法，3Analysts(19%)对金价持中性看法。与此同时，有1003名普通投资者在网上进行了投票。在这些受访者中，有558people(56%)预计金价下周将上涨。另有243people(24%)预计金价将走低，202people(20%)近期持中立态度。有分析指出，尽管金价短期内上涨，但基本面前景依然看跌。实际收益率的上升增加了投资无利息收益的黄金的机会成本，而全球市场已经接受了东欧在打拉锯战。全球经济增长面临的风险也抑制了对这种用于工业应用的金属的需求。从收益率角度来看，关注加息预期，寻找美联储未来加息步伐可能放缓的初步线索，这可能令黄金受益。下周，如美联储会议纪要放鹰，黄金或迎来一波涨势。

Analysis of the trend of gold next week:

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金本周走了一个探底回升后，开启了一波扫荡式的上涨，此前的三周的行情均是扫荡式的下跌，而到了本周则节奏上偏向于区间扫荡运行，来回的跑，探底回升和冲高回落相互配合。周一先跌后涨，破低后探底回升上涨，周二先涨后跌，破高后冲高回落下跌，周三则是先跌后涨，再跌再涨向上破高。周四经过持续收窄修正，先跌后涨，直接走了延续性的上涨，一气呵成攀升到达1849区域，尾盘横盘调整。

　　周五早盘价格承压回踩1836位置，确定支撑后再度攀升到达1849上方区域。1849-1850范围是作为从1890Down to1786The Golden Section of0.618的位置，此处也将决定整体下跌行情节奏。空间修正是黄金今年的修正方式，修正的力度和幅度将直接影响到行情的空间范围，一旦出现修正过度，则整体行情的方向就会发生变化。因此，对于此处位置就尤为重要了，往下关注提及的另外两个支撑点位置。一是回踩确定的支撑点，1826，1832，一个是四小时的生命线分界也是这一波上涨的0.618Position in1823-1822Area.

　　经过周五白盘的再度冲高受阻1849-1850的承压回落，相对来说，更加重要的支撑点在于第二个，而且分界线作用会更加明显。然后就是本周的节奏了，若是出现破高后的冲高回落，则往往幅度会相对比较大，也就是破高破低过后的不延续。目前对于黄金需要注意的点比较多，但有一点必须铭记在心，谨慎追单，严格控制仓位和执行风险控制。操作上指南金师建议目前价格在1830-1850范围内，关注上下的突破情况。若价格跌破1830，则后续还将继续下探，然后再形成探底回升，若价格突破1850，则后续需要谨防冲高回落的动作，过程不变的是偏向于扫荡。1小时级别黄金高位震荡，从日内黄金运行节奏来看，虽然短线空间幅度不是很大，但是行情基本保持偏强格局，考虑到美指有进一步回调的需求，短线黄金即便有回撤，其空间幅度也不会很大。即便目前1850一线有承压，但此位后期大概率是要被突破的。综上所述，黄金下周操作思路上指南金师建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1855-1860Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1836-1831Frontline support.

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