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Guide Metallographer:5.21下周黄金走势分析, 多头来到“十字路口”

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  5month20日当周金价势将录得上涨。金价本周上涨,主要因市场对全球经济增长放缓的担忧不断升温,这激发了gold的避险需求。同时,市场对美联储6月大幅度升息75基点的预期降温,使得金价走出一波释然性的回升。本周黄金先抑后扬,周K线收一根实体大阳线,上涨34.92USD, increase1.93%, closing on1845.6美元。全球最大的黄金ETFstay5month19Rihe5month20日分别增持6.97Tons and7.25吨,扭转了连续4周的减持态势,本周最终增持7.54吨。这也是一个月后,连续再度连续的大幅增持。

  美国经济衰退,将拖累全球经济的增长,这种观点市场在逐渐的达成共识。这是支持黄金本周迎来反弹的主要因素。从技术面层面来看,黄金周K线收一根实体大阳线,结束了连续四周连阴态势。日图K线逐渐转阳,K线呈现放大的态势,这说明之前的弱势得到很好的抑制。4Hour chartMCD运行到零轴上方,进入到强势区域。K线已经上破之前的下跌趋势线的压制。加上市场的对未来经济衰退的担忧,黄金的避险属性将再次得到释放。因此,黄金回撤需要参与多头,需要警惕的是,上方阻力位的压制,连续的反弹后,双底还是V型的反转,这需要根据具体的走势来判断具体的进场位置。

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:

  黄金本周走了一个探底回升后,开启了一波扫荡式的上涨,此前的三周的行情均是扫荡式的下跌,而到了本周则节奏上偏向于区间扫荡运行,来回的跑,探底回升和冲高回落相互配合。周一先跌后涨,破低后探底回升上涨,周二先涨后跌,破高后冲高回落下跌,周三则是先跌后涨,再跌再涨向上破高。周四经过持续收窄修正,先跌后涨,直接走了延续性的上涨,一气呵成攀升到达1849区域,尾盘横盘调整。

  经过周五白盘的再度冲高受阻1849-1850的承压回落,相对来说,更加重要的支撑点在于第二个,而且分界线作用会更加明显。然后就是本周的节奏了,若是出现破高后的冲高回落,则往往幅度会相对比较大,也就是破高破低过后的不延续。目前对于黄金需要注意的点比较多,但有一点必须铭记在心,谨慎追单,严格控制仓位和执行风险控制。所以下周操作上建议价格在1830-1850范围内关注上下的突破情况。若价格跌破1830,则后续还将继续下探,然后再形成探底回升,若价格突破1850,则后续需要谨防冲高回落的动作,过程不变的是偏向于扫荡。

Golden Strategy One:1850Near empty, stop loss1856, Objective1835-1840

Golden Strategy 2:1835Nearby, stop loss1828, Objective1845-1848

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