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指南金师:下周黄金走势分析,日线收十字星

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Good tea is not afraid of fine taste, good deeds are not afraid of detailed discussion. Live fish will swim upstream, while dead fish will drift with the current. In the face of the market, it is the same. A hundred empty words are better than one action, precise strategy, than one execution. The most terrifying thing in the market is not the lack of market conditions, not the lack of opportunities, but the confusion. A person who doesn't know where to go, facing in any direction, is in the opposite direction, and the wind blowing in any direction will be in the opposite direction! Fate does not refuse, fate does not stay, and meeting and becoming friends in the vast sea of people is also a kind of fate. Buddha has a destiny, I have a heart! Guide Jinshi looks forward to becoming friends with you! The guide financier is willing to be your guide on the investment path, and even more willing to be your close friend! Strength building classic, success is not accidental

Message interpretation:

Friday(5month20day),国际金价创6个交易日新高至1849.30dollar/盎司,延续周四反弹势头,美元指数料进一步远离上周创下的逾21Annual high105.02,市场对美国经济增长前景的担忧加剧。美指周四刷新5month5Since the low point of the day102.65。有调查发现,美联储将在今年年底前将利率提高到高于一个月前的预期,从而使本已重大的经济衰退风险继续存在,尽管美联储激进的加息路径和量化紧缩利好美元。美联储面临着巨大的压力,40多年来最严重的通胀要求其将控制物价上升置于优先地位。主席鲍威尔本周公开承认,随着央行全力狙击通胀,“痛苦”可能是不可避免的。

  目前高通胀难降的风险正在不断滋生,虽然美联储已经采取了行动,但似乎通胀的控制还是未有明显的改善,而过于激进的缩紧政策,也让市场进一步担心可能会导致经济放缓,从而产生经济衰退的风险,这让gold捉住了机会反弹回升,并且逼近接近1850一线的位置,而美元也是失守103Gateway.

  纽约联储在其最近更新的全球供应链指数中报告称,由于抗疫封控措施和乌克兰战争延长了交货时间,以及美国和亚洲之间的空运成本上升,全球供应链压力在4月份加剧。该指数上涨也部分扭转了前四个月供应问题缓解的局面。如果当前局面继续下去,即使央行努力控制价格上涨,也可能意味着高通胀会更加持久。目前市场的基本面状况相对比较平静,近段时间市场围绕加息方面的力度以及经济衰退的忧虑为主,这也导致了黄金方面的多空力量不断转变。

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:

  黄金技术面分析:黄金周四调整后单边上涨,结构上是下跌结束后的反弹走势,有小双底结构的支撑,形态上底部构建盘整后大阳拉升突破。技术上均线支撑K线稳步抬升,并且有继续加速上涨的可能,黄金自承压1900大关单边下行走低,目前最低下探1785低位后迎来反弹回升,现在已经连破1830—1840Pass to1850大关附近,整体反弹势头比较有力,多头开始技术性修复阶段。毕竟日、周期局势早已处于超卖运行,大幅下跌期间没有进行过反弹修复,现在日线低位锤子线在底,已经呈现反弹信号,就看是反弹还是反转了。重点关注1850大关压力,若是能够突破企稳那么反弹势头还将延续,就真的有望行情反转了,至少现在反弹力度毕竟可观。

  四小时方面也是三连阳拉升,从而打开布林上轨空间,多头短期回归强势,只要守住1830那么上方空间将被打开,多头也会延续性反弹。不过周线四连阴下跌已经奠定了空头局势,多头反弹可能也不会很顺畅,重点关注1850大关压力,重点关注1850大关压力,若是能够突破企稳那么反弹势头就有望成反转了,至少现在反弹力度还是可以,MA5均线也开始勾头向上运行,代表多头已经有所好转开始逆势翻涨了,MACD红柱能放量状态,多头短期回归强势。关于下周黄金怎么走,1830成了关键点位!下周只要守住1830位置,那么看多头延续,预期亚欧盘会依托1835支撑去破1850,操作上尽量顺势而为,下周有望测试1860附近压力。下方可在回撤1830附近多,上方关注1850Resistance, pay attention below1830支撑,具体操作策略指南金师会在盘中提示,及时关注。

Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:

Empty order strategy:

Gold rebound1848-1852Short selling in batches nearby, stop loss5Points, target1838Nearby, break down and take a look1830frontline

Multiple order strategy:

Gold Callback1825-1835Batch long nearby, stop loss5Points, target1848Nearby, break down and take a look1856frontline

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