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Guide Metallographer:5.20今日黄金走势分析!该不该继续看涨黄金?

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  goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Thursday(5month20日)亚洲时段,现货黄金窄幅震荡,在200Daily moving average1837附近徘徊,隔夜美国疲弱的就业数据加剧了人们对经济的担忧,美元下跌近1%,创近两周新低,帮助金价顶破200日均线,一度涨至1850关口附近,美股续跌在逾一年低位徘徊,美国拟向乌克兰输送先进反舰*,共同推升避险需求。短线基本面和技术面都略微偏向多头,金价存在进一步震荡反弹的机会。本交易日经济数据相对较少,关注新冠疫情相关消息对股市的影响、俄乌局势相关消息、欧洲央行官员讲话和美联储官员讲话。

  黄金技术面分析:黄金本周整体偏向于区间扫荡运行,来回的跑,保持冲高回落和探底回升相互配合的节奏,周一先跌后涨,破低点又探底回升延续走高,周二先涨后跌,破高点又冲高回落延续下跌,周三先跌后涨,再跌再涨,回踩确定支撑后同样是延续走高,昨日周四先跌后张,在欧盘回踩确定支撑后,没有破低,探底回升延续上涨走高,接连突破高点,美盘加速上涨。一气呵成完成攀升到达1849Area.

  金价周四上涨超过1.5%,现货黄金最高触及1849.11dollar/Ounces, closing1841.76dollar/盎司,美国疲弱的就业数据加剧了人们对经济的担忧,美元和美债收益率下滑,增强了黄金的避险吸引力。而美国黄金futuresrise1.4%, to1841.30美元。尽管美国续领失业金人数5月初处于1969年以来最低水平,但上周初请失业金人数意外上升。全球股市进一步下滑,因经济增长放缓的新迹象促使市场抛售股票,转投避险资产,进一步提振避险金属的吸引力。

  那么对于今日周五来说,最重要的还是关注延续性和高低点。隔夜美盘回踩1831加速破高,此处作为今日第一道支撑点,以此作为修正的支撑点,向上看1849,1856as well as1865的压力点四小时生命线与这一波反弹的0.618分界线位置重合1823-1822,此处作为扫荡行情的支撑点,守住保持上方的区间运行。从1890reach1786The Golden Section of0.618Position in1850区域,隔夜价格反弹刚好到达此处下方位置,所以,需要重点留意此处的突破情况,从而进行区间的切换。

  因此,对于今日的黄金来说,参考上方的两个支撑点1831Region and1823-1822范围,以及一个阻力点也是高点1849-1850范围,延续性是关键。同时留意欧盘的方向选择,在美盘的延续,等待机会。结合短线结构来看,昨日欧美盘黄金拉升反弹后,短线结构重心得到上抬,目前1849有承压属于技术性超买承压,与美指超跌回弹反向同步,短线回升趋势确认,那么预期日内下修幅度不会很大,下方可关注前期小高点1835-32一带争夺,主要支撑则看向昨日拉升突破口1827-25一带。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以回调低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1860-1865Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1836-1831Frontline support.

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