Guide Metallographer:5.20黄金日内多头表现强势，1840站稳脚跟？

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

　　回顾行情之所以出现短暂回弹后反倒回落，主要原因可能有两点：一是周一晚间的回弹一定程度上透支了美元下跌带来的回升空间，但是相对于美元下跌力度，黄金目前的回升力度还是不够的；二是美联储主席鲍威尔等官员继续强化激进加息预期，打压黄金回升势头，但该消息在后半夜公布，公布前黄金已经表现得很窝囊，所以影响其实还是有限的。那么回归到行情技术结构本身，目前两阴夹一阳的K线形态也属实很难再做进一步的方向判断，且目前黄金走势也脱离了美元走势节奏，所以更加增加短线行情的不确定风险。

　　周四现货黄金大幅走高，欧盘中开启强劲涨势，日内最高触及1849.08dollar/盎司，最终收涨1.44%Report1841.77dollar/盎司；现货白银走势相同，最终收涨2.58%Report21.95dollar/盎司。美元指数失守103, for5month5For the first time in the past, it ultimately closed down0.991%Report102.89, creating2020year11月以来最大单日跌幅。美国10年期国债收益率盘中刷新三周来低点，最终收报2.837%。

　　昨日黄金呈现的震荡走高，一旦形成慢涨的过程走势相对时间周期较长的，方向性很难确定，在趋势结构偏向一方的同时，逆向运行是在不经意间形成，昨日开盘之后偏弱运行，跌幅下探只1810附近开始反弹上行，之后在未回落，本周经历了周初的跌幅之后，后半周震荡开始小幅反弹，逐次有效的开始起涨，但是中途还是伴随回落，所以短期走高之后，意味着依旧有回落的风险，而二次回落之后力度依旧有待确认。

　　黄金近期承压1900大关单边下行走低，目前最低下探1785位置后迎来反弹回升，隔日已经连破1830—1840Pass to1850大关附近，整体反弹势头比较有力。毕竟日、周期局势早已处于严重超卖运行，大幅下跌期间没有进行过反弹修复，现在日线低位锤子线在底，隔日大阳拉升收尾，已经呈现反弹信号，就看反弹能否有效延续了。重点关注1850大关压力，若是能够突破企稳那么反弹势头就有望成反转了，至少现在反弹力度还是可以，MA5均线也开始勾头向上运行。四小时方面，三连阳拉升从而打开布林上轨空间，MACD红柱能放量状态，多头短期回归强势。今日只要守住1830位置，那么看多头延续，预期亚欧盘会依托1840支撑去破1850，操作上尽量顺势而为，今日有望测试1860Nearby pressure.

　　黄金操作策略：黄金回撤1835Go long nearby, defend1828, Objective1848-1858，破位继续持有

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