Guide Metallographer:5.20今日黄金最新行情走势分析，多头再创新高

　　goldLatest Market Analysis

Thursday(5month19day)美盘时段，现货黄金价格转升，现货黄金日内涨幅扩大至1%Report1839dollar/盎司。因美元指数大幅走弱。全球供应链压力在4月份重新加剧，人们越来越担心，美联储激进收紧货币政策可能会扼杀经济增长，进而对美元构成利空。美联储主席鲍威尔的激进态度给市场带来物极必反的效果。加息固然利好美元，但过快加息打压经济增长前景，且美元指数此前已经呈现明显超买，技术上有回调需求。

　　黄金技术面分析黄金日内先窄幅碎步式震荡回修，下方仅回撤至1810一线，比预期回撤低点要高一些，这也表明当前市场对于黄金还是抱有看涨预期的。欧盘时段受美元再度下跌影响，黄金出现一波回弹，冲破1825短压，目前高点测压至1832/33一线。回顾日内走势，虽然下方未能抵达预期的支撑位，但行情整体走势还是符合回升反弹预期的，且目前也抵达预期压力区域1830-35一带，预期短线行情暂时可能会在此承压，但按照目前美指偏弱调整的状态，行情随时也可能突破200Daily line1835压力，届时上方或可期待冲刺20Daily line1860附近。而即便晚间依旧承压10、200Daily line1835不破，预期下方也不会有太多回落空间了，下方着重关注10Daily line1820附近争夺即可。

　　结合短线走势，黄金依旧持看涨思路，虽然目前1843有阻碍，但时间上可能还是会有很大的冲破概率的。黄金行情如果在1843有承压，下方可关注1822-20一带支撑回踩，只要行情不跌回1820以下，则小时图级别结构重心抬升，后期再度回升也就只是时间问题了。操作上蒋福财建议晚间主思路还是以持多以及择低再多为主，目前空单不要轻易尝试，毕竟美指已经展开回修的预期，黄金随时可能因此受益回升，空单的风险性就会非常大，且利润也很有限。今日行情如果有回调，下方可在回撤1825附近多，带止损1820下方，可手动止损，目标看1840-50。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1850-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1826-1821Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

　　原油消息面解析：国际油价方面，两油盘中跳水。WTILost crude oil110USD level, ultimately closing lower3.95%Report109.09dollar/桶；布伦特原油最终收跌3.10%Report109.22dollar/桶。美国至5month13Day and WeekEIAReduction in crude oil inventory339.4Ten thousand barrels, expected to increase138.3万桶；上周美国国内原油产量增加1010000 barrels to119010000 barrels/日；上周原油出口增加64.110000 barrels/Solstice35210000 barrels/日。美国墨西哥湾沿岸炼油厂的开工率已超过95%，高于往年同期的正常水平，这限制了他们在夏季驾驶季生产更多的燃料。墨西哥湾沿岸还将进入一个比往常更频繁的飓风季，这可能会限制燃料供应。

　　原油技术面分析：昨日原油开盘反弹114.5遇阻，在回落下探113.6Nearby, explore on the rebound114.5附近突破115.4附近受阻，最低下探给到108.4Nearby, closing109附近。原油近期的走势结构还是比较清晰的，昨天晚间价格冲高受阻，出现快速回落，我们可以从内部结构看到油价的上行内部出现5波走势，从美盘的回落可以判断原油大概率迎来了调整走势，后市油价反弹至黄金分割61.8%的位置可以布局一次空单，上行阻力位关注112.0美元，进一步上破就需要关注113.5一线。综上所述指南金师总结：油价在115.5美元大幅下破后有望出现下跌连续，上方多空分水岭在112.0水平，所以原油今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹做空为主，回踩低多为辅，上方短期关注111.8-112.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below107.6-107.1Frontline support.

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