Guo Shengshan:5.19黄金持续震荡，黄金白银布局策略附解套

Successful investors are good at independent thinking and have unique insights. However, this unique insight does not fall from the world or emerge from the underground. It comes from the market and practice. The actual trend of the market is truly accurate and will not change according to people's wishes. In my practice, I often remind myself to keep my investment philosophy and principles as simple as possible. Successful investment is a profit system that keeps repeating, simplifying, and doing things repeatedly. Once things are simple, they become clear, and the constraints on my investment behavior become effective.

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

　　回顾行情之所以出现短暂回弹后反倒回落，主要原因可能有两点：一是周一晚间的回弹一定程度上透支了美元下跌带来的回升空间，但是相对于美元下跌力度，黄金目前的回升力度还是不够的；二是美联储主席鲍威尔等官员继续强化激进加息预期，打压黄金回升势头，但该消息在后半夜公布，公布前黄金已经表现得很窝囊，所以影响其实还是有限的。那么回归到行情技术结构本身，目前两阴夹一阳的K线形态也属实很难再做进一步的方向判断，且目前黄金走势也脱离了美元走势节奏，所以更加增加短线行情的不确定风险。

　　黄金可以从4小时线中明显的看出下跌皆止步于1807区域，形成新支撑带，而且目前的走势就是已时间来缓冲美联储加息的节奏，加上下方1781日线支撑强劲，三重加持之下黄金还有上涨的空间，咱们预期的1856不会太远了，所以低多仍是我们的主思路，点位上继续留意关注1810区域开多，止损1800, look at the goal1835-1856一线，空头虚晃一枪，反弹还将继续。因文章有滞后性，故以上解析供参考。

Golden Strategy One:1825Near empty, stop loss1830, Objective1815-1810

Golden Strategy 2:1810Nearby, stop loss1800, Objective1830-1825

　　crude oilLatest Market Analysis

Thursday（5month19日）亚洲时段，美油延续跌势；美油周三下跌近4%，尽管美原油库存下降，但政府数据显示美国炼厂增加炼油量，让交易商对供应紧张的担忧减弱，以及美股大跌拖累油价走低。上周，炼油厂原油日加工量增加23.9万桶，将炼油厂整体利用率提高1.8Percentage points, to91.8%。东海岸和墨西哥湾的产能利用率都超过了95%，使这些设施接近其可能的最高运转率。由于对俄罗斯的制裁减少了全球的库存，并导致全球买家争相购买柴油、汽油和其他产品，美国的炼油商一直难以增加成品油库存。美国汽油库存减少480Ten thousand barrels, to2.202亿桶，为连续第七周下降。总体来看，美国炼厂增加炼油量，让交易商对供应紧张的担忧减弱为空头助力；美股大跌进一步拖累油价走低；但还需警惕地缘局势的不确定性风险，俄罗斯驱逐欧洲各国外交官，或引发地缘紧张局势的升级，限制油价跌幅。

　　原油技术面来分析，日线上，隔日原油展开大幅下跌，盘中受阻于前期高点附近下跌至MA10日均线位置，录得带上下影线的大阴，日线上，今日早间原油开盘小幅上涨，但均线压制存在，日内或将下跌；4小时上，隔日原油白盘小幅上涨，晚间一度大阴下跌，刺破中轨连阴下行，当前布林带即将开口，MAThe moving average is about to break out of its double dead cross,KDJ随机指标三线向下，到达超卖，MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线死叉向下，综合来看今日原油郭晟衫建议保持做空，上方关注关注112-113One line of resistance, pay attention below108-107Support.

　　解套：

　　1Long term unwinding. Investors who have identified a major trend (such as a bullish market) and placed their orders in a minor trend (a downward trend in the market) can first stop losing and then enter at a lower price to earn a price difference. This can also earn profits from the major trend and reduce the risk of short positions caused by the minor trend.

　　2Short term unlocking. If investors make a complete mistake in their judgment of the market, they should decisively close their positions to avoid further unilateral price fluctuations and suffering greater losses.The longer short-term investors hold in a unilateral market, the greater the losses they will incur.

　　3Light position unwinding (also applicable to investors with large funds). That is, as the decline in the price increases, it increases the buying price and uses idle funds to lower costs, waiting for the price to rebound. Its advantage is that no matter how deep it is nested, as long as it is operated properly, it can be unlocked once there is a rebound.

　　4, band unpacking. This method is suitable for various market stages of hedging, especially for volatile markets, mainly relying on the fluctuation of stock prices and utilizing the fluctuation price difference to unwind. The concept of this method is to buy low and sell high, sell high and buy low, gradually reducing costs and reducing losses. Its advantage lies in the variety of operating techniques, which are not limited to a single pattern, actively attacking, and if operated properly, the release speed is fast. The disadvantage lies in the high demand for personal time, energy, and ability, frequent operation with certain cost pressure, and improper operation can easily cause greater losses. We need professional knowledge and guidance with time, energy, and skills.

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

(Note: The above article was written by Guo Shengshan's team. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and the delay of online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)