Guide Metallographer:5.19今日黄金开始震荡筑底，最新行情走势分析

　　goldMarket trend analysis;

Thursday（5month19日）亚洲时段，现货黄金低位徘徊，目前交投于1815美元附近，美联储官员继续发表鹰派讲话，强化激进加息预期，帮助美元周三上涨，暂时中断了美元的高位回调，令金价承压；不过，美国4月建筑许可降至五个月最低，标普500指数和道指创近两年最大跌幅；富国银行三周两次下调标普500指数目标；摩根大通下调美国GDP增长预期，联合国下调2022年全球经济增长预期；这些仍给金价提供避险支撑。美国费城联储主席哈克周三表示，他预计美联储将再进行两次50个基点的加息，随后转为单次加息25个基点，直到通胀“祸根”被击退。展望未来，如果未来几周的数据没有重大变化，我预计6Month and7月还会有两次50个基点的加息，”哈克在为美国中型银行联盟准备的演讲稿中表示，“在那之后，我预计将对基金利率进行一系列有节制地上调，直到我们确信通胀正朝着委员会的目标水平回落。整体而言，短线金价仍存在震荡下探的风险，但经济衰退预期和美股大跌等因素，有望吸引逢低买盘给金价提供支撑，这会限制金价的下跌空间；短线金价存在低位震荡筑底的可能性。

　　黄金技术面分析；黄金昨日十字K线震荡收平，空间开始收缩，最高1824.minimum1807.空间走得不大，在区间内来回拉锯，下探回升收平，日线进入停顿震荡，针对此前的下跌空间进行修正，同时也是为了拉动中期均线指标拐头向下。目前60日线还处于年线上方。在震荡修正中拉动拐头向下。4小时暂时还处于下行通道中震荡修正运行，相对于此前的弱势下跌，目前稍有停顿，局部进入震荡周期。布林道开始平行收口。在震荡中蓄势，但再次放量发散空间有待确定，昨日未放量，今日仍有可能继续震荡修正，加上技术指标进入收缩震荡，日内短线暂时关注4小时布林道上下轨之间高抛低吸。1小时图多空有所分化。目前是进行整理后二次延续反弹还是依托1836高点做台阶下行有待观察。停顿震荡后短线方向要重新选择。大方向看空趋势未改。此处短线分化。也担心先走一波二次推高反弹再下跌。或者横向整理。届时过早看空持仓相对也比较难受。日内短线暂时震荡思路对待，结合形态空间边走边看，综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以区间震荡为主，上方重点关注1830-1835Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1805-1800Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest Market Analysis

　　原油技术面来分析，日线上，隔日原油展开大幅下跌，盘中受阻于前期高点附近下跌至MA10日均线位置，录得带上下影线的大阴，日线上，今日早间原油开盘小幅上涨，但均线压制存在，日内或将下跌；4小时上，隔日原油白盘小幅上涨，晚间一度大阴下跌，刺破中轨连阴下行，当前布林带即将开口，MAThe moving average is about to break out of its double dead cross,KDJ随机指标三线向下，到达超卖，MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线死叉向下，综合来看今日原油建议保持做空，上方关注关注112-113One line of resistance, pay attention below108-107Support.

　　技术面看，原油日线图整体处于震荡，技术指标略微偏多，整体看来原油震荡偏上行走势；小时图呈现下跌状态，各项技术指标处于下跌局面运行，鳄鱼指标张口向下，预计短期还将继续下跌。今日操作建议，原油反抽111.3Short selling, stop loss112.5Stop surplus110-108。

　　原油今日短线操作思路指南金师建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注114.5-115.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below106.5-107.0Frontline support.

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