Guide Metallographer:5.19Morning gold trend analysis, bulls once again take the initiative

　　goldMarket trend analysis;
　　
Wednesday(5month18day)In the European market, European stocks struggled to move after several consecutive days of gains, and traders evaluated the latest remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. The US dollar continues to rise, while spot gold is attempting to rebound, waiting for a new round of clues. Gold prices rebounded on Wednesday, with little overall fluctuation. The US dollar rebounded slightly, damaging the performance of gold denominated in US dollars. US Treasury yields remained largely stable, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell once again showed a radical inflationary stance. Entering the European market on Wednesday, spot gold slightly rose and briefly touched1820The US dollar has risen by more than10The overall fluctuation of the US dollar is not significant. The US dollar has attempted to stabilize and rebound after three consecutive trading days of decline, reducing the attractiveness of gold to investors holding other currencies. Gold is highly concerned about the prospects of interest rates and monetary policy, especially in the United States, where the indicator is the United States10Annual bond yield(Yield rate)Stable after a sharp rise in the previous trading day, damaging the demand for zero yield gold. The Federal Reserve has raised its benchmark policy interest rate this year75Basis points and is expected to achieve6Month and7Raised again at the two meetings of the month0.5One basis point. Although gold is seen as a hedge against inflation, it has an impact on short-term US interest rates and bond yields(Yield rate)Rising is very sensitive as it increases the opportunity cost of holding gold. Some analysts say that although gold is an anti inflation asset, holding non interest bearing gold in a rising interest rate environment actually faces the problem of rising opportunity costs. At present, the weakening of the US dollar and a slight decrease in US bond yields have both driven goldfuturesRecently, it has rebounded. Nevertheless, gold has not yet emerged from its predicament.
　　
Technical analysis of gold: On Tuesday, gold fluctuated without an absolute strength trend, with a slow rise in gold prices in Asia and Europe, and a new high in the European market1836Although the performance was strong, the long positions in the US market did not continue and showed significant downward potential, reaching their lowest point at midnight1812If we have basically regained the upward space of the Asian and European markets, then the rise of gold on Monday and Tuesday is not absolute strength, and cyclical gold still has adjustments, so we cannot be bullish on a single basis for the time being. Tuesday Gold Gives1824Many,1826More, continuous profitability, re layout on Wednesday. From a technical perspective, the rise after Monday's new low, Tuesday's volatility, and Wednesday may still maintain a volatile range. The daily chart will close positive on Monday, and on Tuesday, it will remain in a volatile range5，10The daily moving average closed bearish below the daily moving average, but it remains weak for the time being. We will change our mindset and engage in high-altitude, low long trades within the day, as long as we maintain our position at1836Below, it is difficult for gold to have any breakthrough upward potential. gold4The hourly cycle closes, and after three consecutive Yin cycles,kLine*Under the Bollinger Bands, gold may continue to weaken on Wednesday, and we will look at the support of the Bollinger Bands1800Nearby, therefore, there is still a wave of downward space on Wednesday and Thursday, and for the time being, trading should focus on short selling as much as possible. The range of small period oscillations is very obvious, with hourly lines,30I didn't even speak for a minute, and the pressure from above is1822，1830It is expected that the Asia Europe market can engage in high-altitude, low long trading within the range, and the US market will continue to trade along the trend once the direction of the European market appears. On Wednesday, the gold market in Asia and Europe will continue to decline. If the European market slows down and has a lot of room for growth, then the US market will have a continuous upward trend and stand firm1830Looking ahead, there will be a significant increase. In summary, today's gold trading strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest that a pullback should be mainly low, with a rebound at high levels as a supplement, with a focus on the above1830-1835Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1803-1798Frontline support.
　　
　　crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　NYMEXCrude oil futures rise1.92%to114.56dollar/Barrel;ICEBrent crude oil futures up1.54%to113.65dollar/Bucket. American Petroleum Institute(API)According to data released overnight, as of5month13During the current week, crude oil inventory unexpectedly decreased244.5Ten thousand barrels, expected increase153.3Ten thousand barrels; Gasoline inventory has also decreased far beyond expectations510.2Ten thousand barrels, which has raised supply concerns. Official US Energy Information Agency(EIA)Weekly inventory data will be available in Beijing time22:30Announce. But crude oil prices may still face some pressure. Macroscopically, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell on Tuesday(5month17day)The central bank will raise interest rates to the level necessary to curb inflation. The Federal Reserve's interest rate hike is positive for the US dollar, but it poses a negative impact on commodities priced in US dollars.
　　
Crude oil opened today at113.608dollar/Barrel, after opening, experienced a volatile pullback, reaching its lowest point112.8The US dollar stabilizes and rises, reaching its highest point114.4Horizontal hovering. The daily crude oil level includes a bearish cross star pattern, and after four consecutive bullish days on the daily level, there is an adjustment line, further indicating that bulls need to adjust. On a smaller level, oil prices will end up in the111.7The first line of stabilization and upward momentum is relatively strong. In terms of the overall pattern, the resistance level in the early stage has broken through and the support has shifted111.0Horizontal. Today, oil prices opened low and closed low, hitting a second time112.8The upward trend behind the front line further indicates that the support at this position is effective. Based on the above guidelines, Jinshi concludes that crude oil is once again operating at a high level. Today, in terms of operations, we are considering a pullback layout with multiple orders as the main focus. Please pay attention to the above116.2-118.7The US dollar, breaking through the level and looking up, supports attention below111.0-108.0The support of the US dollar, unexpectedly breaking the trend of oil prices, will weaken.
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