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Guide Metallographer:5.19晨间黄金走势分析,行情震荡多空一直卡住

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  贵金属走势相关资讯——

United States4Monthly retail sales rate recorded0.9%Create this year1New high since the beginning of the month,符合预期;前值从0.5%Upgraded to0.7%。美国经济有持续向好的迹象,关注这对加息的影响。美联储方面,鲍威尔继续放鹰,表示美联储密切关注降低通胀的时候,任何人都不应该怀疑美联储抗击通胀的决心,必要情况下将上调利率至中性水平之上。美联储官员可能继续释放偏鹰信号,不过这对gold的压制可能没那么明显,可以关注fedraise interest rates75个基点的预期。美联储在下次决议上加息75个基点的预期前一天有所下降,为11.6%。

Analysis of the Latest Gold Market

Wednesday(5month18day),国际金价继续承压,因美元小幅回升,利空美元计价的黄金。同时美债收益率坚挺,美联储主席鲍威尔称,只要通胀不低头,美联储面对加息不会退缩。美联储有望在6Month and7月会议上各加息50个基点,延续5月份的加息节奏。鲍威尔指出,只要通胀不低头,美联储面对加息不会退缩。“如果这涉及超越广泛理解的‘中性’利率水平,我们将毫不犹豫地这样做。我们将继续前进,直到我们觉得我们可以认为‘金融状况处于适当位置,我们看到通胀正在下降。’”分析师发布报告称:“目前短期支撑似乎为1800美元关口,如破将测试数月低点1787美元。多头最后防卫为1month28Heliocentric2022Annual low point1780USD. 若反弹,关注持续突破下降趋势线阻力1821美元。之后多头有望再度挑战位于1836USD200dayMA均线。若收盘于其上,将是启动任何有意义反弹行情的关键。 ”美元在连续三个交易日下滑后小幅走高,降低了黄金对持有其他货币投资者的吸引力。10年期美债收益率隔夜大幅上涨,提高了持有非孳息资产黄金的成本。美联储有望在6Month and7月会议上各加息50个基点,延续5月份的加息节奏。

Gold trend analysis:

Combining daily and hourly chart structures, focus on the top of the day first5Daily line1817Competition nearby, but the main pressure still depends on10、200Daily line1835/36Nearby, while below, the focus is on1800Nearby integer digit competition, currently affected by the continuation of yesterday's negative line, market sentiment may appear depressed, and low volatility digestion is a high probability event. In terms of operation, given the current trend of long short conversion in the market and the extremely inconsistent performance with the rhythm of the US dollar, we will not make any plans to participate for the time being1820—00Within the range of oscillation digestion, but even in the range of oscillation, it is not suitable for short-term low altitude operations. If the operation is1820、1800附近,盘中再做进一步的策略调整。综合上述短线操作指南金师建议回调做多为主,下方重点关注1805-1800Support, attention from above1835-1840Resistance;

Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:

Multiple order strategy: recommendations1808-1803Long in batches, stop loss1798, Objective1823-1830;

Empty Order Strategy: Suggestion1835-1840Short in batches, stop loss1845, Objective1820-1815

  crude oilTrend analysis:

  原油近期的走势结构还是比较清晰的,昨天晚间价格冲高受阻,出现快速回落,我们可以从内部结构看到Z浪的上行内部出现5波上行走势,从昨天晚间的回落可以判断原油大概率迎来了调整走势,今天亚盘时段价格反弹出现滞涨,晚间保持逢高做空的思路。

Crude oil evening:116之下看空,防守116.5, Objective113-112-111.5.

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