Guo Shengshan:5.18黄金走势分析反弹高空为主，黄金原油操作建议

投资犹如下棋，棋艺高者能看出五步，七步甚至十几步，而棋艺低者只能看出两三步，高者顾大局，谋大势，不以一子一地为重，以最终赢棋为目标，低者则寸土必争，只为争一时之需，结果频频受困。趋势，一定要有长远眼光，投资，一定要有长远规划，而交易技巧是成功的关键。做投资，如果你的能力不足以支撑你的野心，那么你需要一位军师助你操控大局，一次选择，就是一次转折!One attempt is an opportunity!

　　goldMarket trend analysis;

Wednesday(5month18day)亚市盘中，受美元走强打压，黄金futuresMaintaining the downward trend, futures are now reporting1806dollar/盎司附近，日内大跌约13美元。昨日美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1814.91element/Ounces, down8.91USD or0.49%The highest daily hit1836.01dollar/Ounces, lowest touch1812.81dollar/盎司。有消息称美联储已经释放出信号，将在今年升息至中性水平。鹰派大将圣路易联储总裁布拉德否认，美联储应对通胀反应过慢，支持未来会议升息2码的计划，罕见对升息3码避而不谈。观察经济数据表现，美国4月零售销售实现稳健增长，月增0.9%，优于市场预期，即使通胀仍居高不下，没有迹象显示需求因此而受影响。零售销售数据公布后，美元指数依旧疲软，但在鲍威尔强调收紧货币政策的决心后，跌势小幅收敛。鲍尔周二重申让通胀回落到2%目标水平的承诺，表示会继续支持升息直到价格回落至健康水平。黄金虽然是抗通胀资产，但在升息环境下，持有不付息的黄金反而面临机会成本上升的问题。目前美元走软和美债收益率略降，都带动黄金期货在近日回升。尽管如此，黄金还没有脱离困境。

　　黄金昨日先扬后抑，尾盘收低，开盘横向整理后先延续了前一日的反弹，最高触及1836.0dollar|盎司，美盘时段承压回落失守1830.破位没能站稳关键阻力，随后承压回吐日内反弹空间。且收在低位。日线单阳反弹之后立马转阴。趋势还是处于震荡下跌，伴随单阳反弹修正后再承压下行，反弹不连阳，持续性不强，仍是弱反弹修正。4小时图昨日一浪反弹在1836一线受阻回落，目前还处于4小时下行通道中运行，而离上轨处1850-1853还有一定距离，昨日反弹后仍收在中性位置，使得短线多空延续不定。此位多空互有分化，单从趋势而言，目前的反弹只是修正并非反转，后市修正之后仍看下跌。而从短线结构来看。反弹的力度和空间也可大可小，现阶段是回踩后推动二浪反弹，还是就此在1836形成受阻重新走跌有待确定。形态和结构的多空变化也是瞬息万变。看空有看空的理由，看多也有反弹的理由。雾里看花，多空不定。白盘暂时先行观望，等待小周期方向进一步明朗再行定夺。综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注1825-1830Frontline resistance, focus on below1800-1795Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday（5month18During the Asian period, American Oil hovered around114dollar/Barrel; Oil prices briefly hit a new high during Tuesday's intraday trading session3month9New high in recent days115.56后回落，有消息称，美国将放松对委内瑞拉政府的一些限制，委内瑞拉原油供应或增加的预期拖累油价。原油期货价格在常规交易时段结束之际延续跌势，此前美联储主席鲍威尔表示，如有必要，他会毫不犹豫地把利率提高到中性水平以上。美国财政部官员表示，由于俄罗斯石油的销售价格低于全球指标油价，关税可以设定在既能填补部分差价，又能减少俄罗斯利润的水平。但他们补充说，关税须低到足以让俄罗斯有利可图，从而有动力继续出口。这些官员说，让俄罗斯石油继续留在市场上，可以避免欧洲石油禁运可能导致的油价进一步上涨。油价大涨会抵消禁运对俄罗斯收入的影响。总体来看，俄乌冲突引发的地缘紧张局势升级，欧盟对俄制裁或进一步升级，油价维持多头基调；但受到美国对委内瑞拉原油的限制放宽，油价短线或震荡偏空。消息称，美国将放松对委内瑞拉政府的一些限制，委内瑞拉原油供应或增加的预期拖累油价。

From a technical perspective, crude oil crossed yesterdayKAfter a long period of high consolidation and flattening, the line fell back and fell to111.78.However, the closing was still at a neutral high position, with a rebound from the high without closing low. The next day, it continued to consolidate at a high level. Following the daily rise of consecutive positive trends, accompanied by a small negative crossKLine organization correction. crossKThe closing of the line is still a strong consolidation correction. However, in the late trading session, some lost ground was recovered, making the short-term competition still ongoing today. Key focus for the dayEIAdata 4The hour chart quickly turned positive and recovered after the double negative line withdrew yesterday. The end of the trading session remained at a high level, making it uncertain whether the Asian session will continue to be bullish or bearish today. It is currently difficult to determine whether to further consolidate and break through the high level or to confirm a retracement before recovering. Bollinger Road shows that it is temporarily above the mid track and has more oscillations. It does not lose the mid track when retreating, and the short track long head structure has not been changed.1小时图布林道开始收口。局部进入震荡，多空续量不定，亚盘观望，把时间点放到欧美盘。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路郭晟衫建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注115.5-116.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below111.7-111.2Frontline support.

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

(Note: The above article was written by Guo Shengshan's team. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and the delay of online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)