Guide Metallographer:5.18晨间今日走势分析，黄金还会上涨吗？

Precious metal related information:

Specific data shows that the United States4月零售销售月率实际公布0.90%, expected0.8%, Previous value0.5%； U.S.A4月零售销售年率实际公布8.19%, Previous value6.9%。 U.S.A4月核心零售销售月率实际公布0.60%, expected0.3%, Previous value1.1%。 U.S.A4Monthly retail sales rate recorded0.9%Create this year1月以来新高。分析师指出，出色的经济数据可能只是误导。美国一季度经济意外萎缩1.4%，远低于预期的增长1.1%。即使市场接受了贸易逆差导致经济萎缩的解释，但如果二季度后经济陷入衰退，美联储要想继续加息就得顶着巨大的压力。这可能是市场预期FOMC6Month and7月会议将各加息50个基点的最有力理由，

Internationalgold（GOLD)

Gold opened today at1824.65dollar/盎司，出现了先涨后跌走势，最高触及1836水平遇阻回撤，低点给到1819一线徘徊。黄金日线级别，昨日收报一根较长下影锤头阳K线，这种形态的出现是短期有企稳作用的，第二日则以回测跟多看反弹延续对待；不过，当前走势还只是反弹修正，并未反转，多空拐点位置继续关注10average1850一线，也会近期持续阴跌下降通道的上轨承压处，只有收盘远站上此位置或者连阳站上，才能彻底终结弱势格局，扩大反弹需求，甚至逐步具备反转多头的条件；今日短期压力1836测试，突破则关注1840一线其中通道一处的反压，强压则是1850一线了；综上所述指南，金师总结：黄金出现探底回升走势，今日操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主，上方关注1843-1850水平阻力，下方关注1817-1810USD support.

　　crude oilTechnical analysis:

　　原油上周五强势上涨收高，回测106.30After stabilizing on the front line, it rose strongly and approached the previous high point. At the beginning of this week, it opened short and then hit a new low. At the end of the week, it recovered strongly and regained all the lost ground at the beginning of the week, creating a new high point. From the closing situation of the weekly line, this round of correction always stops at the middle track, which has become a key defensive point for the bulls on the weekly line. Losing the middle track is necessary to make a mid-term downward adjustment. Otherwise, holding it will continue to maintain a high level and repeatedly climb. The daily chart has shown a strong and consecutive bullish trend, reclaiming lost ground and returning from the lower track to the upper track. Currently, the upper track is slightly open. Make it possible for the space to continue upwards, but do not rule out the possibility of regression interval tug of war.

　　4小时宽基数拉锯震荡，下跌快收复也快。从目前的结构来看，短期站上均线上方且均线指标拐头向上形成支撑，同时也上破了此前的高点。短线有进一步延续之势，但上行空间也是边走边看。由于反复拉锯的空间结构频率较多，本周也不排除冲高回落再进行回撤，操作上需要结合形态灵活应对。综上所述，今日原油操作思路上指南建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，短期上方重点关注116.0-116.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below110.5-110.0Frontline support.

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