Guo Shengshan:5.17晚间黄金走势解析，原油布局策略

Trading core values: Trading is like fighting, both attacking and defending. Defensive means advancing with retreat, while offensive means retreating with advance. When risks outweigh profits, a perfect retreat is far more meaningful than a partial victory. The highest level of trading is short positions. Only short positions can calm down, only calm down can observe, only observe can be a judge, and thus distinguish between strong and weak trends. As long as one stands against the strong or weak team, profit is just a passing act. Therefore, the first thing a trader needs to learn is to spend most of their time observing, rather than participating. It is not necessary to participate every time, but to seek a trade that can turn the tide with just one attempt. There is no one in this world who lives easier than anyone else. It's just the strong. Even if they fall, they should smile, never cry out for pain when they fall, or turn on the lights when they are afraid of the dark. The strong are not born, they have just experienced more setbacks.

　　goldMarket trend analysis;

Tuesday(5month17day)进入欧市盘中，风险情绪改善，美元短线加速走低，黄金则扳回日内跌幅重返1830美元，金价周二走强，因美元回落支撑了对以美元计价的黄金的需求，并抵消了美国公债收益率(Yield rate)回升的压力。现货金持续反弹，日内涨超5USD, highest hit1830USD, up from daily lows10美元左右，整体波动幅度不大。与此同时，美元从近20年高位回落后奋力站稳，而暴跌的人民币也找到了底部，因投资者减少对美国升息是否会推动股市进一步上涨的押注。衡量美元兑六种贸易加权主要货币走势的美元指数futuresDefeat104Pass, lowest touch103.65水平。上周五曾升破105Gateway, creating2002year12月以来新高。美元走软使得黄金对持有其他货币的买家更具吸引力。美元指数上周创2002year12New high since mid month105.01后持续三个交易日回落，黄金隔夜在创出1month31Daily low point1786.70美元后反弹收高，因投资者对美联储加速升息可能导致经济硬着陆担忧增加。鲍威尔领导下的美联储因未能对通胀作出反应而备受批评。与此同时，美国总统拜登也因持续通胀和财政应对失策而受到大型企业主的指责。市场参与者现在期待日内稍后即将公布的美国4月工业数据，美联储主席鲍威尔也将发表讲话。这将为黄金价格提供一些推动力。

　　黄金日线级别，昨日收报一根较长下影锤头阳K线，这种形态的出现是短期有企稳作用的，第二日则以回测跟多看反弹延续对待；不过，当前走势还只是反弹修正，并未反转，多空拐点位置继续关注10average1850一线，也会近期持续阴跌下降通道的上轨承压处，只有收盘远站上此位置或者连阳站上，才能彻底终结弱势格局，扩大反弹需求，甚至逐步具备反转多头的条件；今日短期压力1830测试，突破则关注1840一线其中通道一处的反压，强压则是1850一线了；黄金4小时级别，昨日底部支撑1786后，展开连阳上攻，此时处于短期10日上方，略破位中轨压力，短期有逐步上行的动能，上方关注三处承压，1835-36分割反压力、1842通道反压、1852下降通道上轨压力，而支撑则关注10average1816处，建议逢低延续看反弹；黄金小时线级别，隔夜一波持续走高，今日早盘未续涨，一般先出现回测一波则可以跟多，不过日内窄幅运行于1821-1830小区间内，支撑于凌晨横盘点，受压于前期顶底开跌口，高位横盘不跌是显得抗跌，且此时突破了某一个下降通道上轨压制，不好参与空；不过macd此时红柱在逐步缩减，也暂时缺乏上行动能，因此建议继续观望等待，郭晟衫认为总体上倾向于反弹修正延续对待；综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上郭晟衫建议短期上方重点关注1843-1848Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1815-1810Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest Market Analysis

Tuesday（5month17During the Asian period, American Oil hovered around114dollar/Near the barrel; Meiyou rose by more than3%Touched at one point in the session3month10New high in recent days114.90dollar/桶，因全球成品油供应紧张导致市场对夏季供应感到担忧。美国汽油期货有史以来首次突破每加仑4The national average retail price of gasoline rose to a record high in the US dollar. For the first time in history, US gasoline futures have surpassed per gallon4In the US dollar, the national average retail price of gasoline has reached a record high, and the rise in crude oil futures prices often quickly spreads to the gasoline market, indicating that people will face higher energy costs as the end of the summer driving peak month approaches5month13In the week of the day, the inventory of Cushing crude oil decreased by about262.9Ten thousand barrels, tight US inventory leading to higher oil prices. Overall, the tight supply of refined oil is good for oil prices, but the EU Foreign Ministers' Meeting failed to reach a consensus on a new round of sanctions against Russia, and the EU has given a green light for European companies to continue purchasing Russian natural gas, which may limit the increase in oil prices; Follow within the dayAPIdata

　　原油技术面分析：原油上周五强势上涨收高，回测106.30After stabilizing on the front line, it rose strongly and approached the previous high point. At the beginning of this week, it opened short and then hit a new low. At the end of the week, it recovered strongly and regained all the lost ground at the beginning of the week, creating a new high point. From the closing situation of the weekly line, this round of correction always stops at the middle track, which has become a key defensive point for the bulls on the weekly line. Losing the middle track is necessary to make a mid-term downward adjustment. Otherwise, holding it will continue to maintain a high level and repeatedly climb. The daily chart has shown a strong and consecutive bullish trend, reclaiming lost ground and returning from the lower track to the upper track. Currently, the upper track is slightly open. Make it possible for the space to continue upwards, but do not rule out the possibility of regression interval tug of war.4小时宽基数拉锯震荡，下跌快收复也快。从目前的结构来看，短期站上均线上方且均线指标拐头向上形成支撑，同时也上破了此前的高点。短线有进一步延续之势，但上行空间也是边走边看。由于反复拉锯的空间结构频率较多，本周也不排除冲高回落再进行回撤，操作上需要结合形态灵活应对。综上所述，今日原油操作思路上郭晟衫建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，短期上方重点关注116.0-116.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below110.5-110.0Frontline support.

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

(Note: The above article was written by Guo Shengshan's team. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and the delay of online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)