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goldLatest Market Analysis
Tuesday(5month17At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range, holding onto most of Monday's gains. Currently, trading is1826Around the US dollar. On Monday, gold prices bottomed out and rebounded, although they briefly fell to1800Below the checkpoint, it reached a new low in nearly three and a half months1786.7Nearby, but with the pullback in US dollar and US bond yields, gold prices have turned upside down and rebounded to1820upper. Analysts believe that there is still room for US treasury bond bonds to rebound, which is expected to provide further opportunities for gold prices to rebound. On this trading day, it will be announced in the United States4Monthly retail sales data, known as "terrorist data" due to its significant impact, requires investors to pay close attention. Currently, the market is expected to grow month on month0.8%, previous value is0.5%It may cause trouble for the rebound in gold prices. In addition, several officials, including Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, made speeches on this trading day, and investors also need to pay close attention. At the same time, we need to continue to pay attention to the situation in Russia and Ukraine and the COVID-19 epidemic. Overall, although concerns about the geopolitical situation have cooled recently, there is still a sense of risk aversion. The key is that there is still room for further pullback in the US dollar and US Treasury bonds, which is expected to provide opportunities for further rebound in gold prices. However, it is still necessary to pay attention to optimistic economic data and the words of Federal Reserve officials, as the expectation of aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve may further consolidate, which may limit the rebound space of gold prices. Yuan Jinyou stated that although fundamentally speaking, I continue to be bullish on gold, I hope to see a technical reversal pattern where prices have already bottomed out. One scenario is for gold prices to return to the previously broken trend line and return1850dollar/Above the ounce resistance level. But the first thing to do is to defend the gold price1800dollar/Support around ounces.
Technical analysis of gold: Looking back at the intraday trend of gold, it is still abnormal for gold to experience such a strange trend despite the relatively calm news and little fluctuation in the US dollar. This trend also fully demonstrates the emotional risk of the current market, although the following1786A trend line that belongs to a short-term low point connection, but this abnormal state is not strictly in accordance with technical requirements. The expected market on the hourly chart may come under pressure1818-20Conduct a pullback1810-07Regional decline stopped and completed a three band downward revision for a small cycle, but gold has already fallen below1800The low point dropped to1786Nearby, it belongs to a serious oversold, with obvious signs of short selling, and the evening US market also perfectly met expectations. Slowly rising all the way and directly breaking through to1820一线!【原金油免费指导VX:MACD33388, buckle:244256354】
今日黄金下方关注1810Short term support, the main support still depends on the low trend line connection1785-80Area, on the Golden Station early this morning1820Above, continue testing1830-35In terms of regional testing and operation, the main idea for today is still to choose low and layout multiple orders. Given the abnormal fluctuation of the intraday market, it is necessary to do a good job in position management and participate in low positions as much as possible. As for short orders, participation is no longer considered because there are still strong signs of the US Index's correction, so the risk of gold short orders is much greater than that of multiple orders. Therefore, it is necessary to take advantage of the trend and operate low and long orders today! In summary, in terms of today's gold operation strategy, the original gold oil suggestion is to mainly go long by stepping back, supplemented by rebounding high, with a focus on short-term upward movements1845-1850Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1810-1805Frontline support. [Original Gold Oil Free Guidance]VX:MACD33388, buckle:244256354】
crude oilLatest Market Analysis
Tuesday(5month17During the Asian period, American Oil hovered around114dollar/Near the barrel; Meiyou rose by more than3%Touched at one point in the session3month10New high in recent days114.90dollar/Barrel, due to tight global oil supply, the market is concerned about summer supply. American gasolinefuturesFor the first time in history, it exceeded the limit per gallon4The national average retail price of gasoline rose to a record high in the US dollar. For the first time in history, US gasoline futures have surpassed per gallon4In the US dollar, the national average retail price of gasoline has reached a record high, and the rise in crude oil futures prices often quickly spreads to the gasoline market, indicating that people will face higher energy costs as the end of the summer driving peak month approaches5month13In the week of the day, the inventory of Cushing crude oil decreased by about262.9Ten thousand barrels, tight US inventory leading to higher oil prices. Overall, the tight supply of refined oil is good for oil prices, but the EU Foreign Ministers' Meeting failed to reach a consensus on a new round of sanctions against Russia, and the EU has given a green light for European companies to continue purchasing Russian natural gas, which may limit the increase in oil prices; Follow within the dayAPIdata
Technical analysis of crude oil: Crude oil closed higher and rose again yesterday. The daily trend has been strong for four consecutive days, and there is no sign of stopping the upward trend. It has been revised in the consolidation process before accumulating momentum to break through the high trend. Yesterday, the short-term trend was stepped on first, followed by a rise, and stepped back first108.20The first line started to stabilize, and the European and American markets gradually consolidated and regained momentum, breaking through the high in the late trading and closing at a high level.4The hourly wave of strong breaking continues to rise in the short term, but after stepping back yesterday, we held on10The unit moving average is measured again. At present, the short-term trend is relatively strong, but after reaching a high point, the defense of the previous high point still needs to be tested. Whether to further accumulate momentum to break through the high point or construct a second top fall remains to be confirmed. However, considering that the short-term trend is relatively strong, it is not advisable to guess the top too early at the moment. Let's take advantage of the trend and wait for the pattern of hitting the high point and falling back before adjusting our thinking.1Hour chart yesterday108.20The formation of short-term low points during the initial stabilization period, the fluctuation of the steps, the rise of the secondary low point, and the upward pattern remain unchanged. Today, the mid track of the Bulling Road happened to break the high point yesterday111.80.Short term bullish ahead of the middle track during the day. In summary, in terms of crude oil operation strategy today, it is recommended that Jinyou mainly focus on going long by stepping back, with a rebound in high altitude as a supplement. In the short term, the focus should be on the upper part116-117Frontline resistance, short-term focus below110-111Frontline support. [Original Gold Oil Free Guidance]VX:MACD33388, buckle:244256354】
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