Guide Metallographer:5.17黄金跌势越演越烈，今日黄金走势分析

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Monday(5month16day)国际金价在震荡交投中小幅下跌，重新逼近上个交易日创下的2month4Daily low point1798.98dollar/盎司，美联储官员此前表示，如果高通胀没有表现出改善，准备在9月美联储会议前考虑加快升息。贵金属一场重大清仓事件可能正在上演。克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特上周五(5month3day)表示，通胀需要在“几个月”内走低，美联储官员才能安全地得出结论，认为通胀已经见顶。如果数据没有表现出改善，她将准备在9月美联储会议前考虑加快升息。梅斯特表示，由于美联储普遍支持在6Month and7月会议上各加息50个基点，今年秋季将成为关键时刻，届时美联储将评估物价涨幅是否从目前的逾40年高点放缓，进而决定是否调整加息步伐。指南金师认为；尽管黄金被视为一种通胀对冲的工具，但黄金对美国短期利率和债券收益率上升很敏感，这会提高持有黄金的机会成本，黄金多头可能会遭受更多痛苦。

　　黄金技术面分析；黄金亚盘反弹1817.40一线承压，没能强势突破上周五尾盘的反抽高点，隔日不过前一日的尾盘高。短线则会先行延续下探。亚盘在1818下方承压之后，盘中临盘调整了一下思路。在跌破了1808之后直接在1806-1807跟进了短线空单下看1796-1790.看了一个惯性的摔低。也是考虑到周线的收低，本周先会惯性的延续。目前1小时图是处于低位第三次摔低，要留意这种低位摔低后的节奏，伴随一个低点一个反抽。也就是形成三重低或多重低之后，指标无力创新低，短线会伴随修正。故低位做空单，摔低后要把握及时减仓或落袋。既不踏空行情，也不过分贪恋。目前结合4小时的下行通道接近了下轨支撑处，可能虽在反抽，虽然目前还不能说是止跌，但盘感上来看，短线可能有反弹修正。故目前位置暂时观望。等美盘后再决定。启稳后短线不排除会尝试看反弹。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，短期上方重点关注1825-1830Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1795-1785Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Technical analysis of crude oil: Crude oil rebounded and closed higher last Friday, recovering from the previous day's decline and losing ground, while reaching a high point and exiting a small cycleVType reversal, strong recovery104.10After the high point, the weak downward pattern was broken. Bounce highest touch106.40.Returning to the high range and sawing. Breaking through yesterday104.0Afterwards, perform one more backhand short shot to complete the bag placement in the pan, with frequent switching between local long and empty positions. Accompanied by a wide base saw, the daily high sun rises and swallows up the small yinKThe short-term and short-term fluctuations have returned to the range, and the continuity of the two yin and one yang is insufficient. It has not yet left the unilateral trend.4小时图一波低位连阳收复近半失地。下跌快收复也快，拉锯震荡的节奏。多空反转快，要关键临界点的得失。一旦失守强弱临界点，就会改变即定的节奏，日线布林道继续收口当中，短期还将维持宽幅区间内震荡。综上所述指南金师总结：上周原油先跌后涨，出现了VReversal pattern, strong bulls, focus this week111.32Break situation, and then114.2美元阻力，所以原油今日操作思路上建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注112.8-113.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below108.0-107.5Frontline support.

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