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Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.
Todaygold行情分析解读:
第一,黄金周线级别,上周收报大阴,也重回前期三角整理缩口之内,且连续四周收阴下滑,力度还是相对大的,那么本周关注的中期级别压力就是三角缩口上轨1830If the closing price cannot return above, there is a probability of further suppressing the decline in the medium term; On the contrary, return to1830On the upper end, there are signs of stabilization;
Secondly, the gold daily level is only2000Falling all the way to a high point1786Today's low point, and unable to stand firm despite multiple backdraws during the journey10Above the daily moving average, it means that the decline has been consistently negative to this day. This wave of sell-off intensity can be described as the largest in the past year. The scary thing is not that the decline is significant, but that the duration of the decline is too long; current10Moving the moving average down1850On the front line, only by breaking through and standing on it can we turn the market into a bull headed attack or expand further rebound strength; On the contrary, suppression1850Next, it will continue to run weakly at the bottom for a period of time; From the perspective of the downward channel, today's low point touched the lower track position, which means that the students were ambushed with orders today1790Multiple, current testing1808Short term resistance, with some good short-term profits, while intraday Feng Shui Ridge is1818First line, originally planned to empty it here in the early trading, but the price only touched1817, slightly worse1Missing a wave of falling profits due to the US dollar; In addition, from the multiple trend line derivative points in the early stage,1818-15The area becomes the top and bottom pressure, and in the short term, it needs to be surpassed to gradually test it1830(618分割位置)、以及10The moving average, which is basically the pressure point on the upper track of the downward channel1850frontline;
Thirdly,4Hour level, price suppression10Under the moving average or medium track, it has been under pressure all the way down to the bottom and remains weak in the short term, butmacdBottom back galloping, andsriThe signal of severe oversold still exists, which is always easy to rebound after breaking a new low. However, the rebound is not very strong, and if it does not cross the last opening or stand above the middle track, it will not temporarily expand rebound demand;
Fourth, at the hourly level, rebounding in the morning under pressure in the early morning1818.5Downward resistance, European plate opening pressure1810A sharp drop and a wave of arrival1786After the first line, the backdraft is about to be tested at this time1810Open a downside, stay tuned tonight1810Gain or loss of downward resistance, if it breaks through the station, it can be considered as a one-timeVType A washing dish, then there is also reverse pumping that can impact the pressure of the previous channel1824-25as well as1830Important pressure points;macdLooking at it, there is already a serious backsliding of multiple bottoms, which is the biggest technical reason why we cannot blindly pursue short positions when prices are pushed down and hit recent lows;
In terms of operation: For empty positions at this time, it is necessary to observe1810The situation of gains and losses on the front line, if we break through the station, we will see further rebound in demand1824-25Testing,1830Press down and then try high altitude, and those who hold high in low positions can also be captured in all small bands; On the contrary,22After point1810Always unable to stand, consider1810Test in the short air, so it will still be weak and continue to test1800and1790;
crude oilMarket trend analysis:
原油日内调整跳空下跌至黄金分割50%的位置与前期低点形成共振支撑区域,带来多头快速的上涨,反弹走出3波走势价格来到黄金分割61.8%附近出现止跌信号,参照波浪理论来看在黄金分割61.8%一线出现滞涨信号,有望再次创出新低,参照日内回调的幅度来看原油回调的并不是很充分,因此美盘建议参照在黄金分割61.8%受阻的滞涨信号考虑做空,晚间建议等待价格反弹至108.60一线做空,风控点放置109.10Above, as seen from the target position107.3~106.80。
This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting
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