Guide Metallographer:5.13黄金一路暴跌谨防反弹，最新黄金走势分析

　　goldLatest Market Analysis

Friday(5month13day)Asian morning trading, spot gold15Minute decline10USD, approaching1810dollar/Ounces. Data display,COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract Beijing Time5month13day06:27Instant trading within one minute2310Hand, total value of trading contracts4.20USD100mn As the Federal Reserve6The possibility of a significant interest rate hike at the monthly meeting continues to increase, and the price of gold continues to decline. Selling momentum is expected to drag gold prices closer1800.00The psychological support of the US dollar. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell reiterated on Thursday that raising interest rates by half a percentage point at the next two meetings may be a suitable move, but the central bank is ready to change its path at any time based on the data received. Powell was asked in an interview if he has ruled out raising interest rates75At a time of basis points, he reiterated that he was5month4The statement at the Diary Meeting: "If the economic performance matches expectations, then interest rates will be raised again in the next two meetings."50A basis point would be appropriate. Overall; The US dollar index expanded its gains on Thursday, hitting a new record20A new high in the year. The rise of the US dollar has put pressure on gold priced in US dollars.

From a technical perspective, gold fell and rebounded yesterday, closing positive. The Asian market inertia fell and hit a new low, hitting the annual line1832Supporting the start of stable consolidation, European and American stocks rebounded again with a second retracement and closed at a high level. The daily closing line was a bullish candlestick, reaching a maximum of1857.90dollar|Ounces. The daily structure of double negative combined with single positive rebound correction is still in a downward trend from a structural perspective. Although there has been a rebound, it is not yet sufficient to determine whether it is a reversal. It can be regarded as a shock while pulling the moving average index downward. The US dollar has briefly rebounded and corrected before closing at a high level, and its performance remains strong. However, yesterday's brief decline caused gold to fluctuate. There is slightly more room for rebound, and the market will close at a relatively high position at the end of the day. The next day, it will first fluctuate and correct.4The hourly chart slightly stabilized and rebounded at a low level, and yesterday's backdraft confirmed breaking through the low level1850Under pressure, stepped back, but failed to close below the low during the closing session, and instead closed at1850Above, the closing determines the continuation of the next day's strength, closing above the low point and experiencing short-term fluctuations. at present4The hourly chart rebounded due to a second downward trend. In the short term, it is not ruled out that there will be a rebound tug of war. If there is another downward trend, it will have to wait for the retracement of yesterday's space and break through the low before continuing further. Otherwise, the short term is likely to remain above the low point for correction. In summary, today's gold trading strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest rebounding at high altitudes as the main approach, with a correction at low altitudes as a supplement. The focus should be on the above1840-1845Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1810-1805Frontline support.

　　crude oilRelated information:

Analysis of crude oil news: The largest rebound in international oil prices within the day is close to3%Boosted by supply concerns, as the EU strives to secure support from member states for a ban on Russian oil imports, the UAE oil minister stated that increasing production on the supply side is difficult, and the responsibility for energy supply tension caused by the Ukrainian crisis lies not with the oil producing countries. Due to concerns about the impact of anti epidemic measures and significant interest rate hikes in the United States on economic activity, oil prices have plummeted in the past two days10%However, supply side pressure still supports oil prices, with major oil producing countries warning that once demand improves, they may find it difficult to fill the gap. The European Union has proposed an embargo on Russian oil imports, but the final effective date has been postponed as it requires unanimous support from all member states. Hungary and other EU member states are concerned that the economy may be affected. Even if the final ban can alleviate concerns among Eastern European member states, oil prices may still rise.

　　国际原油（WTI）

Technical analysis of crude oil: Crude oil experienced a downward trend yesterday, rebounded and closed higher, recovering from the previous day's decline and losing ground, while also reaching a high point and exiting a small cycleVType reversal, strong recovery104.10After the high point, the weak downward pattern was broken. Bounce highest touch106.40.Returning to the high range and sawing. Breaking through yesterday104.0Afterwards, perform one more backhand short shot to complete the bag placement in the pan, with frequent switching between local long and empty positions. Accompanied by a wide base saw, the daily high sun rises and swallows up the small yinKThe short-term and short-term fluctuations have returned to the range, and the continuity of the two yin and one yang is insufficient. It has not yet left the unilateral trend.4小时图一波低位连阳收复近半失地。下跌快收复也快，拉锯震荡的节奏。多空反转快，要关键临界点的得失。一旦失守强弱临界点，就会改变即定的节奏，日线布林道继续收口当中，短期还将维持宽幅区间内震荡。综上所述指南金师总结：油价出现了二连阳上涨，今日操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主，上方关注108.5-108.8USD resistance, follow below105.0-104.2USD support.

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