Guo Shengshan:5.13Today's gold bottoms out and rebounds, with the latest layout of gold and crude oil operations

Gains and losses in investment are like riding a roller coaster, with peaks and valleys, which means that whether it's good or bad right now, it's only temporary. Don't take some gains and losses so seriously! Especially in a rapidly rising and plummeting market, when the trend is right, the position will be flipped; The trend reversed and blindly increased margin, ultimately leading to a sell-out; Who hasn't experienced investing before? Don't fantasize that every transaction is always round and full, with a balance between profits and losses and a sense of gain and loss. Investing in the market is like traveling, always in a hurry, with so much confusion and confusion. Only by calming down can one dispel the clouds and mist that envelop one's eyes; Tasting a cup of tea quietly, I realized that there were many opportunities right in front of me.

　　goldLatest technical analysis:

On Thursday, gold rebounded first and then fell, while the Asian session rebounded first1858Frontline pressure, European consolidation and correction transition. During the US market session, the trend turned weak again as investors bet that the Federal Reserve will persist in aggressive interest rate hikes and heavily bought the US dollar. The US dollar surged to a new high, while gold suffered a setback and broke through its lows in the late trading session. Today, it fell to a recent low due to inertia in early trading1810dollar/ounce. The daily line breaks the support of the annual line, while driving the short-term moving average to turn downwardKThe line structure also presents a fluctuating downward trend with a combination of continuous yin and small yang line rebound correction, with insufficient persistence of the rebound. After the previous single yang rebound, it took back yesterday and closed down again. The daily bullish trend remains unchanged, but it fell to a new low in the early trading session, and the Asian session may need to consolidate and correct first.

　　4Hours remain running on the downward steps, with yesterday's rebound at a high point1858The confirmation has never exceeded the previous high point, and after consolidation and correction, it will be under pressure to break through the low. After breaking low, the steps continued. The critical point of the current step moves downwards1858.This position will not recover, and the short-term bearish trend remains unchanged. The rhythm may be accompanied by a low and rebound walking style. Falling to a new low is accompanied by a rebound. After confirming the resistance again, organize the pressure conversion downward. The rhythm is circuitous, and oversold is accompanied by buying support, but the trend is downward. It will form a saw like oscillation and downward movement. Looking weak is not weak, looking bullish is not rising, and in the short term, there is a situation of mutual changes between long and short positions. Plus today Friday, the weekly closing work. It is easy to form a path that is opposite to the previous trend, commonly known as "Black Friday". So in today's operation, Guo Shengshan suggests being relatively cautious and agile, and choosing a short range of resistance during the rebound process and dealing with it in a very short term. The space doesn't look too large,10-13A small short-term band around the US dollar falls into the bag. Attention to short-term pressure above1833-1836and1843.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

　　5month13During the Japanese Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting106.81dollar/Barrel; Oil prices rose nearly on Thursday1%International Energy Agency(IEA)Emphasizing the tense global fuel inventory situation, the EU hinted that member states may not be able to reach an agreement on Russia's oil ban, limiting oil price increases; International Energy Agency(IEA)It was said on Thursday that the Russia-Ukraine conflict caused a decrease in Russian production, which would not lead to a shortage of oil in the world, because the supply in other places increased, while epidemic prevention and control curbed demand.IEAIn its monthly oil report, it was stated that "over time, the Middle EastOPEC+The steady increase in production with the United States, coupled with a slowdown in demand growth, is expected to offset the severe supply shortage caused by the worsening supply interruption situation in Russia. The slowdown in oil exports and the decrease in domestic demand after sanctions mean that approximately10010000 barrels/Russian oil has been shut down in JapanIEALast month's forecast was missing about5010000 barrels/Day.IEABelieving that this number is5The month will rise to16010000 barrels/Day, and then on6Monthly rise to20010000 barrels/If sanctions prevent further purchases or expansion, then7Starting from the month, it will rise to near30010000 barrels/Day. Overall, the tight global fuel inventory is good for oil prices. Although the European Union may postpone the ban on Russian oil imports, it is necessary to be vigilant about the risk of rising geopolitical tensions and news related to various rare viruses.

From a technical perspective, crude oil rebounded and closed higher yesterday, recovering from the previous day's decline and losing ground. At the same time, it reached a high point and emerged in a small cycleVType reversal, strong recovery104.10After the high point, the weak downward pattern was broken. Bounce highest touch106.40.Returning to the high range and sawing. Accompanied by a wide base saw. The daily high sun rises and swallows up the small yinKThe short-term and short-term fluctuations have returned to the range, and the continuity of the two yin and one yang is insufficient. It has not yet left the unilateral trend.4The hour chart shows a wave of low and continuous positive recovery, with nearly half of the lost ground. The pace of rapid decline and recovery, as well as sawing and fluctuating. The reversal of long and short is fast, and the gains and losses at critical points are crucial. Once the critical point of strength is missed, the predetermined rhythm will change. The daily route of Brin Road continues to close. In the short term, it will continue to fluctuate within a wide range. Since it's a shock. Grasp the range and sell high and buy low. The point is in the front and the trend is in the back. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today is suggested to focus on a pullback to the low end, supplemented by a rebound to the high end, with a focus on short-term operations above108.5-109.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below103.5-103.0Frontline support.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirtgos1678

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.