Guo Shengshan:5.11晚间黄金还会上涨吗？原油独家策略分析

你今天的努力，是幸运的伏笔，当下的付出，是明日的花开。即使现在还看不到成果，请不要着急，最好的总会在最不经意的时候出现，怀揣希望去努力，静待美好的出现。人偶尔会迷茫，让人迷茫的原因只有一个，那就是本该拼搏的年纪，却想得太多，做得太少，人生在于拼搏，想十次不如干一次。想要赢，就别怕输，强者就是把对他人“羡慕嫉妒恨”的时间，全部用来提高自己。

　　goldLatest Market Analysis

Wednesday（5month11日）亚洲时段，现货黄金延续跌势失守200日均线，一度创近三个月新低至1831.30dollar/盎司，因美元重拾升势，同时投资者将注意力转向美国通胀数据，以寻找美联储货币政策策略的线索。尽管地缘局势依然动荡，但暂时被市场忽略，机构认为美国股市可能暂时见底，也对金价不利。技术面来看，金价存在跌向1800关口的可能性。分析师称，“起初金价显示出可能企稳的迹象 ，但在通胀数据公布前，投资者仍感到紧张。美元走强正在殃及黄金……尽管我们看到债券市场抛售暂停，但很明显，投资者不会立即重返金市”。分析师说：“鉴于美国国债收益率下跌，黄金应该会更好，但投资者更愿意转投股票。如果美国通胀大幅加速，金价将跌向每盎司1800美元。市场分析师表示，黄金可能面临更多下跌压力，因通胀数据可能高于市场预期，强化美联储紧缩的理由，并推动美元继续上涨。投资都将注意力转向美国通胀数据，从而来寻找美联储货币政策策略的线索。

From a technical perspective, gold further closed lower yesterday, as expected, with a bearish daily trendKAfter closing at a low level, it is highly likely that the next day's consolidation will break through the low point. Suppressing the rebound space of gold prices, ultimately forming a continuation of volume breaking through the low and closing at a low level. This morning, the opening further inertia fell, and the daily closing usually starts at a new low the next day, followed by a trend of oscillation and continuation. The rhythm is a unilateral continuation in a weak market, and the operation is smooth sailing, which is also the time to accumulate bands. Small profits rely on fluctuations, while large profits rely on one side.4The hour has stepped out of the low weak stage and gone down. As the rebound high point moves down, the rebound strength is decreasing, and the weak side can be more released. With a long period of consolidation, it further accumulates momentum to break through the low. After breaking through the low, today's resistance is1850.That is the transition point between the top and bottom. After breaking through the low last night, there was a slight pause here, and finally it closed down. Today, it directly fell and laid a weak foundation. Short term bearish sentiment remains unchanged. After the daily decline today, it will approach the support of the annual line. Today's touch is the first time it has been touched, and there may be a rebound. But considering that4小时的台阶形态，在未突破次高点之前，保持反弹做空思路不变，突破反转再调整思路。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1855-1865Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1835Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Technically speaking, crude oil continued to be bearish yesterdayKThe line closed lower and overall met expectations. After falling at a high daily level and closing below the moving average, it is normal for the market to continue to decline in shade the next day. And yesterday, accompanied by a wave of rebound104.10After being under pressure, the trading volume at the end of the day broke through the low point of the Asian market, and continued to decline again when opening today. The main reason for yesterday's rebound was that the daily line closed at a low level again, and yesterday's rebound was mainly to drive the moving average index to turn downward. After yesterday's consolidation, today's direction is relatively clearer, relying on104.10Be bearish at the critical point, and adjust the direction when breaking through.4After a wave of high and consecutive negative declines in the hour, yesterday's single positive rebound correction was combined with a continuous negative break and a downward trend,4The hour formed a second downward trend, driving the moving average index to turn downwards.1Hourly rebound104.10The second highest point of the form step, after breaking through the low point, forms a channel for the step to oscillate and fall, while leading the way4The hourly moving average turns downwards to form a suppression.1The hourly chart has experienced a weak trend and continued to decline, breaking through the low point today100.50附近先行看空。空间结合形态来定，今日再进一步下跌就会靠近区间下轨，未破下轨之前，还是宽幅震荡，破位才能打开空间。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注104.7-105.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below100.0-99.5Frontline support.

　　——本文由郭晟衫gos1678Contribution.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.