Guide Metallographer:5.11Today, gold rebounded without changing its downward trend, while the adjustment of the US dollar drove the market

　　goldTrend analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday(5month11day)Asian market intraday, goldfuturesMaintaining the downward trend, futures are now reporting1836dollar/Around ounces. Investors in the United StatesCPISelling gold before the announcement, people flocked to the embrace of the safe haven for the US dollar. The Federal Reserve has issued a heavyweight warning,CPIA convincing decline is needed to pause quantitative measures. Due to investor concerns about the US Consumer Price Index during the New York period(CPI)Feeling uneasy about the disclosure, gold prices have fallen below1840US dollars. The appreciation of the US dollar is unfavorable for commodities such as gold priced in US dollars, as the rise of the US dollar makes gold more expensive compared to users of other currencies. There is a downward trend in the price of gold1800The possibility of a checkpoint. Investors may pay close attention to US stocks on this trading day4monthCPIThe performance of data. Economists predict that the United States4monthCPIThe prices of core product categories will show a slowdown in a larger range, as demand for durable consumer goods has begun to steadily decline due to the impact of the epidemic. This will offset the still strong inflation in the core service industry.

Biden may lift some tariffs on Chinese goods due to reports that US President Biden may lift some tariffs on Chinese goods(CNBC)The latest report states that US President Biden5month10Ri said he may lift some tariffs on Chinese imports to help control rising consumer prices in the United States. The entire commodity market has plummeted due to the US dollar, and investors seem to be pressing the sell button on all asset classes. Gold may continue to face unfavorable factors such as the appreciation of the US dollar, rising US bond yields, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike bet. benchmark10The interest rate of one-year US treasury bond bonds fell from a multi-year high to nearly2.99%. As the Federal Reserve prepares to significantly raise interest rates in the coming months to reduce high living costs, this year's interest rate fluctuations have been a major source of pain in financial markets.

From a technical perspective, gold further closed lower yesterday, as expected, with a bearish daily trendKAfter closing at a low level, it is highly likely that the next day's consolidation will break through the low point. Suppressing the rebound space of gold prices, ultimately forming a continuation of volume breaking through the low and closing at a low level. This morning, the opening further inertia fell, and the daily closing usually starts at a new low the next day, followed by a trend of oscillation and continuation. The rhythm is a unilateral continuation in a weak market, and the operation is smooth sailing, which is also the time to accumulate bands. Small profits rely on fluctuations, while large profits rely on one side.4The hour has stepped out of the low weak stage and gone down. As the rebound high point moves down, the rebound strength is decreasing, and the weak side can be more released. With a long period of consolidation, it further accumulates momentum to break through the low. After breaking through the low, today's resistance is1850.That is the transition point between the top and bottom. After breaking through the low last night, there was a slight pause here, and finally it closed down. Today, it directly fell and laid a weak foundation. Short term bearish sentiment remains unchanged. After the daily decline today, it will approach the support of the annual line. Today's touch is the first time it has been touched, and there may be a rebound. But considering that4The step pattern of the hour, before breaking through the second highest point, maintains the rebound short thinking unchanged, and adjusts the thinking after breaking through and reversing. In summary, today's gold trading strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest rebounding at high altitudes as the main approach, with a correction at low altitudes as a supplement. The focus should be on the above1860-1865Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1825Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday(5month11day)Oil prices fell more than on Tuesday2%, falling below100For the second consecutive day of decline, reaching the lowest level in two weeks, the demand outlook is under pressure due to the spread of the epidemic and the growing risk of economic recession. Market concerns about tightening monetary policy have led to an increase in the US dollar, and a strong US dollar has made crude oil more expensive for buyers using other currencies.APIData shows that US crude oil inventories have increased, and concerns about demand due to the spread of the pandemic have increased, dragging down oil prices; The expectation of further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve has led to concerns in the market about tightening monetary policy, causing the US dollar to rise and bearish oil prices; Follow within the dayEIAData, as well as speeches from Federal Reserve officials, may further stimulate a decline in oil prices. Focus on the United States within the day4monthCPIAnnual rate not seasonally adjustedEIAdata Thursday00:00Federal Reserve Bostic delivered a speech on the US economy and monetary policy.

Technically speaking, crude oil continued to be bearish yesterdayKThe line closed lower and overall met expectations. After falling at a high daily level and closing below the moving average, it is normal for the market to continue to decline in shade the next day. And yesterday, accompanied by a wave of rebound104.10After being under pressure, the trading volume at the end of the day broke through the low point of the Asian market, and continued to decline again when opening today. The main reason for yesterday's rebound was that the daily line closed at a low level again, and yesterday's rebound was mainly to drive the moving average index to turn downward. After yesterday's consolidation, today's direction is relatively clearer, relying on104.10Be bearish at the critical point, and adjust the direction when breaking through.4After a wave of high and consecutive negative declines in the hour, yesterday's single positive rebound correction was combined with a continuous negative break and a downward trend,4The hour formed a second downward trend, driving the moving average index to turn downwards.1Hourly rebound104.10The second highest point of the form step, after breaking through the low point, forms a channel for the step to oscillate and fall, while leading the way4The hourly moving average turns downwards to form a suppression.1The hourly chart has experienced a weak trend and continued to decline, breaking through the low point today100.50Look short in the vicinity first. Based on the combination of spatial patterns, if we continue to decline today, we will approach the lower bound of the range. Before breaking the lower bound, there will still be a wide range of fluctuations, and only by breaking the level can we open up space. Overall, the short-term operation strategy guide for crude oil today suggests that the main focus should be on a pullback with a lower bullish trend and a rebound with a higher bullish trend, with a focus on short-term operations above104.7-105.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below100.0-99.5Frontline support.

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