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作为一名分析师,我定义我自身的职责是帮助投资者提供风控策略,我不敢说保证你每一单都盈利,但是我会帮助你控制风险,倘若你认为你规避掉我这篇文章
Message analysis: Tuesday(5month10day)In the Asian market,goldfutures短线突然一波急涨,期金目前升至1865dollar/盎司附近。由于市场预期美联储将采取更激进的政策,美元坚守在在近20年高位附近,令金价承压,另一方面,市场对俄乌战局进一步升级的预期降温,打压了地缘局势担忧,削弱了黄金的避险买需,周一金价大幅下跌。市场普遍认为美联储将是全球最激进的央行,美元指数仍有进一步上涨空间,这对金价不利。
交易员们正期待着美国周三发布的消费者物价指数(CPI),该指数可能显示通胀见顶。上周五公布的数据显示,美国非农就业人口增加42.8万人,失业率维持在3.6%不变,但这并未改变市场对美联储大幅加息的预期。随着美联储加息,加之因新冠疫情相关的封锁而对中国经济增长感到担忧,股市持续下跌,美元被证明是首选的避险资产。即使股市重挫,但黄金作为一种无利息资产的吸引力也会因美国国债收益率上升而减弱,而美元走强则会削弱以美元计价的大宗商品的吸引力。美元坚挺和美债收益率进一步上升继续对黄金构成压力。过去两周,彭博跟踪的黄金ETF一直录得资金净流出,美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)数据也显示,投机者也在进一步撤离黄金。
====黄金行情走势分析及操作建议====
黄金昨日自开盘起便一路弱势震荡回修,下方低点跌至1855一线后有所回弹,但晚间仅回弹至1872一线便再度承压回落,日线收得一实体饱和阴线,贯穿跌破5、10日线。日线结构上来看,在上周后半周冲高回落走势影响下,昨日行情续跌并不奇怪,但力度显得偏大一些,且从昨日下跌节奏来看,多头信心是极度缺乏的,而昨日收阴线后,日线结构也由偏震荡状态转到偏弱状态,日内下跌或有延续可能,下方或将回撤此前预期的200Daily line1835-30Area.
黄金从小时图结构来看,昨日行情一路震荡下跌,然技术指标却一直显示超卖,跌出现底部背离信号,所以短线而言1855-50区域还是可以提供一定的支撑作用的,但是未必能带来回弹动能,日内行情可能会借助1855-50区域有所回弹,上方依旧着重关注短期趋势线压力,目前已经下移至1870附近。日内下方也允许行情下破1850,但如果是类似于昨日直接震荡连续下跌,对于操作上也并不利。借助日线技术走势偏空,小时图又可能先有一波回弹需要的预期,日内黄金操作上主思路依旧持看空预期,但短线也可考虑先搏一波回弹,至于1855-50能否稳住,则要看美元能否展开较大级别的回修调整。今日操作上建议考虑高空策略,上方关注1870-1879美元阻力,破位将趋势转强,下方初步支撑在1850-1848,破位支撑关注1835-1826美元。具体操作策略我会在盘中提示,及时关注。
====Gold operation suggestions====
Empty order strategy:
Gold rebound:1868-1870Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1860-1850Nearby, break down and take a look1840-35一线(建议仅供参考,投资有风险,入市需谨慎!)
Multiple order strategy:
Gold Callback1850-1853Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1855-1860Nearby, break down and take a look1865-1870frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)
Analysis of Silver Technology
Current pressure23After a continuous decline, stabilization, and rebound in the region, the current rebound is still relatively strong, but24.5上压力明显不能突破随时调整,有一点后期白银工业需求限制下跌空间,当黄金企稳时候,还是率先做多白银,目前关税调整,我们也是顺势反弹参与做空即可,如果继续反弹那23Nearby, there can be empty layouts waiting for adjustments, as for silverTDJust follow the trend of spot buying and selling, of course, the pressure is concentrated now5150If encountering a direct short entry game and adjusting again, try not to participate in other positions as much as possible, and now switch between top and bottom5150Regional pressure continues to short5350Loss is sufficient. Directly encountering4550Multiple regional batches, available in stock21Try a shorter layout nearby.
——This article is contributed by Ding Sheng Jin Shi.
My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,yescrude oilDeep research on commodities such as gold and silver,Technical Director Dingsheng Jinshi Online Solution Set,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.!
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