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Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.
Early Thursday, Beijing time2Point, Federal ReserveFOMC的委员们一致投票同意,本次会议加息50个基点,将联邦基金利率目标区间提升至0.75%-1%,符合市场预期。在本次美联储决议声明中,美联储措辞相对较为中性,其中对通胀的描述较为激进。同时,美联储声明显示,6month1日开始以每月475亿美元的步伐缩表;三个月内逐步提高缩表上限至每月950亿美元,预计“继续”加息是合适的。美国4Non farm employment increased42.8Ten thousand people, setting a new record2021year9月以来的最小增幅,失业率为3.6%,略高于预计的3.5%。非农数据公布后,与美联储议息日期挂钩的掉期显示,美联储6Monthly interest rate increase at least50The probability of a basis point is100%Interest rate hike75The probability of a basis point is26.2%。
上周美联储宣布5The monthly interest rate resolution is consistent with market expectations, and this meeting will raise interest rates50Basis points. Gold support1860Strong rebound in gateway support to1900关口,不过涨势也未能延续,而是承压1910之下反复深V洗盘,多空无明确方向还处于激烈争夺之中。今日黄金承压1890延续跌势,并且单边下行跌破1866前低至1856位置,其跌势延续性比较强,跌幅已经高达30美金左右。目前已经跌破1860—1866短期上行趋势线,由此可见近期分析还是没有错,多空反复震荡之后还是空头率胜一筹,此波走势和预期有望吻合。
原油技术面分析:原油不管是日线均线多头排列,前期三角整理向上破位,还是周线每次都是探底收阳于前期通道上轨之上,都表面近期油价强势运行,这和近期消息面利多推动是有很大关联;短周期处于高位偏强整理,尽管macd处于顶背驰状态严重,但价格依然无法下挫修复,这属于逼空氏的震荡抗跌上行,对于原油品种来讲,容易发生这种情况,前期也出现过多次;当前支撑关注106.5上逢低多,阻力111.7Strong pressure116.2下压制高空,此位置是618分割点,对于逼空震荡抗跌上行走法,每强行破高一次,后面迎来的就是回落下探,并不属于强势单边的那种。综合来看,原油今日短线操作思路上陈泽强建议以反弹高空为主,回踩做多为辅,上方短期重点关注109.3-109.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below105.6-105.1Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas, as for the specific entry point settlement τ Please pay attention to the timing. Chen Zeqiang's firm offer will be provided in real time.
This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting