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Guide Metallographer:5.9今日黄金温水煮青蛙,反弹1880闭眼干空!

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If a ship doesn't know which port to sail to, then the wind in any direction will not be downwind. If the transaction cannot be executed as planned, any trend in the market will be fleeting. Orders are always done as one pleases, the market is always what one does not want, always wanting to control everything, but actually being in the game! In a big environment, one should know to be content with the situation, while in a small ordinary situation, one should know how to overcome difficulties. There is no once and for all leisure, nor is there any easy blessing, gradually realizing that living hard is the norm. If you want to get more, you must not be afraid of hard work, sink your heart, and go all out!

Message interpretation:

  上周美联储加息,决策者虽然排除了在下次会议加息75个基点的可能性,但在6Month and7月会议上,美联储依旧大概率分别加息50个基点,市场认为美联储的加息力度,将超过其他主要央行,这支撑美元上涨,刷新近二十年信号,给金价造成较大压力。上周公布的美国非农数据,表现靓丽,利好美元走势。

  俄乌冲突仍在继续,上周末G7领导人承诺,将逐步禁止进口俄罗斯石油,美国也表示将对俄罗斯进行新一轮的制裁,对地缘局势的担忧,限制了金价的下跌空间。

  goldTechnical analysis:

  黄金上周五非农相对而言较为平静,形成了一个区间性的震荡,在美盘尾部且最高触及到1891附近后开始回撤,这也很有是空头的一种洗盘的方式,而在上方重点压力维持于1890一线,并且形成刺破的动作而言,后期黄金很有可能会继续下行,而日内开盘后直接形成了小幅度的回撤,那么欧盘的走势就相对而言较为重要,而欧盘一旦形成下跌并且破低的话,则后期黄金将有可能会继续下行,而下方的支撑短线维持于1860一线,此位置一旦下破的话,后期的空头目标则维持于1830附近,短线内黄金相对处于空头的弱势格局,非农的冲击并没有影响近期内的多空趋势,更多的只是给予形态做了修复和调整而已,而目前黄金上方压力维持于1880一线,此位置下方我们仍然需要做空等待,所以短线操作上指南金师建议反弹做空为主,日内黄金反弹于1878-77Short selling nearby, looking at the target1865-58Nearby, loss1882.5。

  crude oil策略分析:

  今日原油策略:尽管沙特下调了对亚洲的原油售价,G7领导人准备禁止从俄罗斯进口石油,预计禁运将使全球供应吃紧 ,美原油建议110附近,布置空单止盈106.5Stop loss111。原油走势区间目前仍在90-110区间,今日关注俄罗斯阅兵以后的相关讲话,影响长远,价格区间可能会突破。

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