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Whether it's yesterday's market, today's market, or tomorrow's market; The observer continues to observe, the worried continue to worry, the afraid continue to fear, and the profitable continue to make money; Any current situation is testing our psychological resilience, and any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest, survival of the fittest, one thinks, two does, three succeeds, one waits, two looks, three falls; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!
Don't let emotions affect the operation in trading
goldMarket trend analysis:
Wednesday(5month4During the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading in1864美元附近,上一交易日由于地缘局势有所恶化,金价在1850关口附近获得了一些支撑,本交易日将迎来美联储利率决议,大概率会加息50个基点,多头仍有所顾忌。但目前金价已经部分消化了本次加息和未来多次加息50个基点的利空影响,投资者需要提防“靴子落地”后的多头反扑。此外,本交易日还需留意美国4monthADP就业人数变动和美国4monthISMPMI' target='_blank'>Non manufacturingPMI数据,相对而言,利率决议前,金价可能维持弱势,但对地缘局势的关注需要加强,利率决议后,金价可能会引来震荡筑底甚至是震荡反弹的机会。鸽派会议结果或地缘政治紧张局势升级或通胀担忧可能推动金价重回每盎司1900美元。分析师认为,尽管美联储的货币紧缩才刚刚起步,但美债市场最严重的一轮抛售可能已结束。这意味着美债收益率的上涨空间可能受到限制,甚至美债收益率会迎来回调机会,这有可能会缓解金价的下行压力。整体来看,本交易日多数时间内,金价仍可能会受到乐观经济数据预期和加息预期的压制,但市场观望情绪渐浓,地缘局势似乎有所恶化,金价下行空间可能会受到限制,分别关注1850关口支撑和200Daily moving average1835.4Nearby support.
黄金从技术面来看,黄金昨日先抑后扬,日线收盘小阳K线反弹修正,先行下探1850创近期新低。欧美盘启稳反弹。收复日内下跌失地,并创日内高点至1877.80.Final closing at1866. 一步一回头的震荡下跌,日线单阴伴随小阳线的震荡下行走法,从结构上来看。目前日结构仍处于下行C浪延续当中,破位颈线1890后的延续。而短线节奏则是以震荡式呈现,边反弹修正边拉动均线拐头。目前短均线已拐头向下,但中期60日均线还是朝上。中期走出单边方向还需要时间整理修正。4小时连阴下行创出新低1850后转中阳线拉回,单阳K线走出反弹,目前的反弹空间并没有形成反转,只是当作反弹修正对待,整体而言,4小时结构还处于下行台阶通道中运行,下行趋势线的压力下移至1890.与颈线低点重合。也是短期空头的防守点。此位之下的反弹当作整理修正。反之突破则改变短期下行台阶。目前日线结构中还存在些许支撑,使得短线迂回震荡,一步一停顿。且阴跌中配合反弹。边整理边蓄势。1小时图昨日走出一波连阳反弹,且收盘相对中性,使得今日亚盘还要观察一下强弱延续。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方重点关注1880-1885Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1855-1850Frontline support.
crude oilMarket trend analysis:
日线和周线仍处于高位强势整理当中,由于颈线低点迟迟未失守,使得下行空间受限,局部处于高位震荡拉锯当中。日K线进入钝化整理。原油上周摸高收高,守住周线布林道中轨之上再行上扬走高,最高触及111.30During the late trading session last Friday, the market fell back and closed in one area110.30.本周跳空低开。4Hour chart second touch high pressure, in111.30Under pressure twice, the previous pressure was retested until106.50Stable start, pay attention to this low point this week. If the second pressure falls and breaks through the low, it will deepen the adjustment space and form a second high exploration and fall. Due toK线结构进入拉锯反复,使得形态上多空持续性不足,所以综合分析操作上郭晟衫建议反弹做空为主,上方关注110-111Resistance, pay attention below107-106Support.
——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.
The above article was created by Guo Shengshan's teamgos1678Write my own interpretation of world economic news,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.
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