5.9黄金开盘二话不说就是干，行情分析及多空策略

　　时间，会沉淀最真的情感；风雨，会考验最暖的陪伴。走远的，只是过眼云烟；留下的，才是值得珍惜的情缘。来得热烈，未必守得长久；爱得平淡，未必无情无义。眼睛看到的或许是假象，心的感受才最真实。时间告诉我们，简单的喜欢，最长远；平凡的陪伴，最心安；懂你的人，最温暖。想成为大树，就不要和小草去比！短期来看，草的生长速度和树相比，肯定是草的长势明显，但是几年过后，草换了几拨，而树依旧是树。所以这个世界上只有古树、大树，却没有古草、大草。投资一样如此，重要的不是一时的快慢，而是持久的发展力。一个内心不够自信和强大的人，往往需要靠发脾气来提高自己的气场，这是一种自卑的潜在表现。真正内心强大的人是极其柔软的，善于掌控局面者可做到淡定与从容，高人似水，善利万物

　　goldNext week's market analysis:

　　黄金消息面解读：本周，现货黄金连续第三周收低，盘中创2月中旬以来新低至1850.10dollar/盎司，美联储在本周加息50个基点。尽管在美联储排除了未来一次性加息75个基点的可能性后，但随后公布的4月美国非农就业报告显示劳动参与下降，这还是给美联储未来更大幅度加息埋下了伏笔，美指本周创2002year12月中旬以来新高至104.074，金价后市依然看跌。

　　本周走势回顾：本周黄金承压1900The level continued to decline to1850Pass, subsequently announced by the Federal Reserve5The monthly interest rate resolution is consistent with market expectations, and this meeting will raise interest rates50Basis points. Gold support1860Strong rebound in gateway support to1900At the critical juncture, but the upward trend is also short-lived, especially4The monthly closing period is in line with the previous meteor line, which further clarifies the high pressure and is expected to continue the downward trend in May; Weekly Triple Yin CombinationMACDGreen kinetic energy release; The daily line also runs with the downward opening of the Bollinger Belt's lower track,MA5—MA10The moving average has gone down with a dead fork and failed to stabilize even after multiple rebounds1890关口，多次冲高回落。那么综合上来看黄金空头趋势肯定无疑，现在的反弹回升预期也是个幌子。

Technical analysis of gold: From the daily chart of gold, it can be seen that yesterday's gold price surged significantly and broke through the illusionMA5andMA10Two moving averages with a long upward shadow recorded after falling back under pressureKLine shape, current price has returned toMA5Below the moving average pressure,MACDThe downward trend of the dual line dead cross indicator has not changed in any way, indicating that the price remains weak after yesterday's round of high test. Therefore, it is not ruled out that there is a possibility of further opening up downward space in the future. From gold4Looking at the hourly chart, the gold price rebounded significantly yesterday and fell back under pressure after repairing the gap. Although the price has fallen significantly, the previous low support has not yet broken through, indicating that the low-level rebound pattern still existsMACDThe dual line indicator has not yet successfully issued a dead cross signal for trading, so if the gold price can successfully defend1860If the position is on the front line, there is still a possibility of continuing the rebound trend in the future.

Gold under pressure this week1900The level continued to decline to1850Pass, subsequently announced by the Federal Reserve5The monthly interest rate resolution is consistent with market expectations, and this meeting will raise interest rates50Basis points. Gold support1860Strong rebound in gateway support to1900At the critical juncture, but the upward trend is also short-lived, especially4The monthly closing period is in line with the previous meteor line, which further clarifies the high pressure and is expected to continue the downward trend in May; Weekly Triple Yin CombinationMACDGreen kinetic energy release; The daily line also runs with the downward opening of the Bollinger Belt's lower track,MA5—MA10The moving average has gone down with a dead fork and failed to stabilize even after multiple rebounds1890关口，多次冲高回落。那么综合上来看黄金空头趋势肯定无疑，现在的反弹回升预期也是个幌子，所以黄金下周操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回踩低多为辅，上方短期关注1895-1900Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1870-1865Frontline support.

　　crude oilNext week's market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Friday（5month6During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting108.36dollar/Barrel; Oil prices rose nearly on Thursday1%Due to concerns about supply, the EU has previously formulated a plan to impose new sanctions on Russia, including an oil embargo. However, pressure from the strengthening of the US dollar and the decline in global stock markets has suppressed oil prices. Analysts say that“OPEC+Still believe that this is a problem caused by Western countries themselves and not a fundamental supply issue that the organization should address. Only Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have the ability to significantly increase oil supply, and if they do so, the resulting discord with Russia may collapseOPEC+ Market analysts indicate that:"The oil market has not fully digested the possibility of an EU oil embargo, so if the ban is passed, it is expected that crude oil prices will rise in the summer months."OPECFormed with allies such as RussiaOPEC+On Thursday, it agreed to slightly increase monthly oil production again, saying that the organization could not help Russia's supply, and that China's COVID-19 blockade threatened the demand outlook. Overall, the global stock market downturn has dragged down oil prices, but supply concerns still support oil prices. Oil prices will focus on non-agricultural data for the day, and it is currently expected to increase38.5Ten thousand non-agricultural employed population, alert to data release, fluctuations may be significant.

From a technical perspective, crude oil hit a high yesterday, fell back and leveled off. The high level saw saw an intensification of oscillations, leading to a new weekly high111.3. It was also the target of yesterday's bullish view, reaching the end of the day and then falling back to the intraday low under pressure during the late trading period106.40.The high and low points are concentrated in the US market during the period of market washing. The final harvest of the daily line is Xiaoyang with an upper shadow lineKLine. The physical space is not large, but the sawing range is large. The daily line is still closed near the Bollinger Road track and has not fully opened. Therefore, the current unilateral efforts are still insufficient.4After a single bearish decline in the hour, there was no continuous bearish trend and no way to form a trend of rising, falling, and turning down. In the late trading session, the double positive rebound still closed at a high level, and in some areas, the direction was still chosen in a volatile manner. Today, we still need to focus on the long short transition.

Currently, crude oil4The hour is temporarily running above the mid orbit. It is not ruled out to continue to detour repeatedly in high positions.1Earlier, the double bearish candlestick fell, accompanied by a small bullish rebound. It remains to be determined whether this rebound is a strong recovery or a confirmation of resistance and further pressure to fall. Further research is neededKTo confirm the line structure and pattern of closing, the key is to look at yesterday's range breakout situation. If it breaks high, it will continue, and if it breaks low, it will turn back and fall. However, after breaking high at a high level, it will be accompanied by repeated highs and falls, so try not to chase high. Repeated highs and lows will intensify the frequency of washing up and make it easy to stop rising and peak. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for crude oil next week is guided by a bullish correction, with a bullish rebound as a supplement. The short-term focus should be on the upper level113.0-113.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below108.4-107.9Frontline support.

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