鼎盛金师：下周黄金下跌趋势不变，反弹1895反复横跳空！

The opportunities provided by the market to everyone are fair. Perhaps you choose to stay in front of opportunities, while others choose to seize them, resulting in seemingly unfair outcomes. As the ancients said, "Gold is as red as a foot." No one is perfect, everyone's experience is limited, and their areas of expertise are also different. With limited energy, you cannot be proficient in everything, 给你一个百分百准的建议，不如给你一个正确的思路与趋势，毕竟授人与鱼不如授人与渔，建议赚一时，思路赚一生！注重的是思路，对于趋势的把握和对于行情的布局和仓位规划！如果你在投资路上遇到了困扰，找不到方向长期处在亏损中，不妨可以和鼎盛金师聊聊，成功不是靠运气，选择大于努力！愿你认识我始于文字，合于性格,Trapped in technology, long after kindness, finally character.

　　goldNext week's market trend analysis;

　　5month6The Nikkei US dollar index rose slightly, continuing Thursday's upward trend and briefly breaking new ground earlier20Annual high point to104.07, USA4The monthly employment data is mixed, failing to change expectations for the Fed's interest rate hike path, and long-term US bond yields have resumed to rise. Spot gold fluctuated higher and closed higher1883.38dollar/Ounces, but the weekly trend fell for the third consecutive week, affected by the prospect of a significant interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, and demand concerns dragged palladium down more than once8%. The rising US bond yields and stronger than expected US employment data are seen as providing evidence for a larger interest rate hike, which limits the upward trend of gold prices. Analysts say that the Federal Reserve remains the most aggressive central bank in the global economy, and fundamentally, there is no reason for the US dollar to peak now. The stable employment situation supports the economy, so there is no reason for the Federal Reserve to stop raising interest rates. This will continue to support the US dollar. The price of gold will rise in the short term due to oversold from a technical perspective. However, the fundamental reason for the end of gold's decline does not currently exist. Analysis shows that monetary policy will also push up gold prices in the short term. The monetary environment is still favorable. The Federal Reserve may sound tough, but in reality, its tightening efforts are too small and too late. The rising volatility of US stocks also supports the bullish outlook for gold prices next week. Initially, when the stock market fell, it was not uncommon for gold to be used as a source of liquidity (i.e. a drop caused by investors selling to obtain liquidity), but since then, gold has become a safe haven and insurance against asset price declines.

Technical analysis of gold: From the daily chart of gold, it can be seen that yesterday's gold price surged significantly and broke through the illusionMA5andMA10Two moving averages with a long upward shadow recorded after falling back under pressureKLine shape, current price has returned toMA5Below the moving average pressure,MACDThe downward trend of the dual line dead cross indicator has not changed in any way, indicating that the price remains weak after yesterday's round of high test. Therefore, it is not ruled out that there is a possibility of further opening up downward space in the future. From gold4Looking at the hourly chart, the gold price rebounded significantly yesterday and fell back under pressure after repairing the gap. Although the price has fallen significantly, the previous low support has not yet broken through, indicating that the low-level rebound pattern still existsMACDThe dual line indicator has not yet successfully issued a dead cross signal for trading, so if the gold price can successfully defend1860If the position is on the front line, there is still a possibility of continuing the rebound trend in the future.

Gold under pressure this week1900The level continued to decline to1850Pass, subsequently announced by the Federal Reserve5The monthly interest rate resolution is consistent with market expectations, and this meeting will raise interest rates50Basis points. Gold support1860Strong rebound in gateway support to1900At the critical juncture, but the upward trend is also short-lived, especially4The monthly closing period is in line with the previous meteor line, which further clarifies the high pressure and is expected to continue the downward trend in May; Weekly Triple Yin CombinationMACDGreen kinetic energy release; The daily line also runs with the downward opening of the Bollinger Belt's lower track,MA5—MA10The moving average has gone down with a dead fork and failed to stabilize even after multiple rebounds1890关口，多次冲高回落。那么综合上来看黄金空头趋势肯定无疑，现在的反弹回升预期也是个幌子，所以黄金下周操作思路上鼎盛金师建议上方短期关注1895-1900Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1875-1870Frontline support.

　　crude oilRelated information:

Friday(5month6day)本周美油价格势将收涨。诸多因素均支持油价上涨，其中，欧盟6个月内全面禁止俄罗斯石油进口，同时OPEC并未提高产量，推升了市场对供给的忧虑。此外，美联储加息50基点靴子落地，风险偏好回升也支持油价。诸多机构认为油价短期仍然会陷入震荡区间。调查显示，4月欧佩克原油产量仅增加1万桶，而计划是27.4万桶。欧佩克日均产量为2870万桶。虽然伊拉克的日产量增加了17Ten thousand barrels, reaching44610000 barrels/日，但利比亚的产量却再度下滑，日产量减少了15Ten thousand barrels.

　　国际原油（WTI）

Crude oil opened on Friday at108.538dollar/桶，整体出现震荡上涨的走势，在触及107.228美元后出现了震荡上涨走势，最高给到110.796dollar/桶遇阻回撤，当前运行在区间107.0-111.2宽幅，进一步突破后有望出现趋势的延续，从小级别上看，油价在触及95.2水平低点后，出现了一波三浪向上格局，在107.9水平出现了第一波回撤，当前时间周期上刚好是给到了新一轮轮回阶段，所以下周的重点就是111.3高点是否突破。综上所述鼎盛金师总结：原油高开高走，收盘在高位，下周操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主，高空为辅，上方关注111.2-113.5USD resistance, follow below107.1-106.5USD support.

——This article is contributed by Ding Sheng Jin Shi.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Technical Director Dingsheng Jinshi Online Solution Set,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.!