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Good tea is not afraid of fine taste, good deeds are not afraid of detailed discussion. Live fish will swim upstream, while dead fish will drift with the current. In the face of the market, it is the same. A hundred empty words are better than one action, precise strategy, than one execution. The most terrifying thing in the market is not the lack of market conditions, not the lack of opportunities, but the confusion. A person who doesn't know where to go, facing in any direction, is in the opposite direction, and the wind blowing in any direction will be in the opposite direction! Fate does not refuse, fate does not stay, and meeting and becoming friends in the vast sea of people is also a kind of fate. Buddha has a destiny, I have a heart! Guide Jinshi looks forward to becoming friends with you! The guide financier is willing to be your guide on the investment path, and even more willing to be your close friend! Strength building classic, success is not accidental
goldNext week's market analysis:
黄金消息面解读:本周,现货黄金连续第三周收低,盘中创2月中旬以来新低至1850.10dollar/盎司,美联储在本周加息50个基点。尽管在美联储排除了未来一次性加息75个基点的可能性后,但随后公布的4月美国非农就业报告显示劳动参与下降,这还是给美联储未来更大幅度加息埋下了伏笔,美指本周创2002year12月中旬以来新高至104.074,金价后市依然看跌。
本周走势回顾:本周黄金承压1900The level continued to decline to1850Pass, subsequently announced by the Federal Reserve5The monthly interest rate resolution is consistent with market expectations, and this meeting will raise interest rates50Basis points. Gold support1860Strong rebound in gateway support to1900At the critical juncture, but the upward trend is also short-lived, especially4The monthly closing period is in line with the previous meteor line, which further clarifies the high pressure and is expected to continue the downward trend in May; Weekly Triple Yin CombinationMACDGreen kinetic energy release; The daily line also runs with the downward opening of the Bollinger Belt's lower track,MA5—MA10The moving average has gone down with a dead fork and failed to stabilize even after multiple rebounds1890关口,多次冲高回落。那么综合上来看黄金空头趋势肯定无疑,现在的反弹回升预期也是个幌子。
Technical analysis of gold: From the daily chart of gold, it can be seen that yesterday's gold price surged significantly and broke through the illusionMA5andMA10Two moving averages with a long upward shadow recorded after falling back under pressureKLine shape, current price has returned toMA5Below the moving average pressure,MACDThe downward trend of the dual line dead cross indicator has not changed in any way, indicating that the price remains weak after yesterday's round of high test. Therefore, it is not ruled out that there is a possibility of further opening up downward space in the future. From gold4Looking at the hourly chart, the gold price rebounded significantly yesterday and fell back under pressure after repairing the gap. Although the price has fallen significantly, the previous low support has not yet broken through, indicating that the low-level rebound pattern still existsMACDThe dual line indicator has not yet successfully issued a dead cross signal for trading, so if the gold price can successfully defend1860If the position is on the front line, there is still a possibility of continuing the rebound trend in the future.
Gold under pressure this week1900The level continued to decline to1850Pass, subsequently announced by the Federal Reserve5The monthly interest rate resolution is consistent with market expectations, and this meeting will raise interest rates50Basis points. Gold support1860Strong rebound in gateway support to1900At the critical juncture, but the upward trend is also short-lived, especially4The monthly closing period is in line with the previous meteor line, which further clarifies the high pressure and is expected to continue the downward trend in May; Weekly Triple Yin CombinationMACDGreen kinetic energy release; The daily line also runs with the downward opening of the Bollinger Belt's lower track,MA5—MA10The moving average has gone down with a dead fork and failed to stabilize even after multiple rebounds1890关口,多次冲高回落。那么综合上来看黄金空头趋势肯定无疑,现在的反弹回升预期也是个幌子,所以黄金下周操作思路上指南老师建议以反弹高空为主,回踩低多为辅,上方短期关注1895-1900Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1870-1865Frontline support.
crude oilNext week's market analysis:
原油消息面解析:本周美油价格势将收涨。诸多因素均支持油价上涨,其中,欧盟6个月内全面禁止俄罗斯石油进口,同时OPEC并未提高产量,推升了市场对供给的忧虑。此外,美联储加息50基点靴子落地,风险偏好回升也支持油价。诸多机构认为油价短期仍然会陷入震荡区间。欧盟发布第六轮对俄制裁方案,6个月内全面禁止俄罗斯石油进口,支持油价。欧佩克上月未提高原油产量,产能问题持续存在支持油价。分析师表示,拜登政府的SPR两步走策略将压低近期油价,推高未来油价,提供对冲和市场信号。美国前总统特朗普在2020year3月也曾试图利用战略石油储备支撑国内生产商,当时正值疫情爆发之初,需求崩溃导致油价直线下降。有机构指出,供需端,中期来看欧洲对俄支撑仍在加码,俄罗斯原油生产出现实质性减少,其他产油国如OPEC和美国等增产未有显着成效,原油供应整体偏紧。
原油从技术面来看,原油本周收阳,下周还有一涨,阻力111.6附近,一旦有效破位,大概率还会去116附近。原油周五开盘在108.538dollar/桶,整体出现震荡上涨的走势,在触及107.228美元后出现了震荡上涨走势,最高给到110.796dollar/桶遇阻回撤,当前运行在区间107.0-111.2宽幅,进一步突破后有望出现趋势的延续,从小时级别上看,油价在触及95.2水平低点后,出现了一波三浪向上格局,在107.9水平出现了第一波回撤,当前时间周期上刚好是给到了新一轮轮回阶段,所以下周的重点就是111.3高点是否突破。当前原油虽然不是极强,但是慢涨上行,趋势还是多。综合来看,原油下周一短线操作思路指南老师建议以反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方短期重点关注112.6-113.1Frontline resistance, short-term focus below108.5-108.0Frontline support.
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