Chen Zeqiang:5.4Analysis of International Gold and Crude Oil Market Trends, Gold and Silver Ups and Downs...

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Message analysis: Gold price on Tuesday(5month3day)It rebounded from the low point in more than two months, because the yield of US dollars and US treasury bond bonds fell from the high point, reducing the holdinggoldOpportunity cost. Data released within the day shows that the United States3Monthly factory order rate recorded2.2%, for2021year5The largest increase since the beginning of the month. Monday, Indicator America10Yields of one-year treasury bond bonds once broke through3%This critical psychological level, while the US dollar remains at20The near annual high has reduced the attractiveness of gold denominated in US dollars to overseas buyers. However, the US dollar index fell from its high on Tuesday and is now down0.3%Trading in103.28Frontline, USA10The yield of one-year treasury bond bonds fell to2.92%This has boosted gold. Affected by this, spot gold rebounded significantly to1877.11USD high, touched earlier2month16The lowest point since the beginning of the day1850.29The US dollar has rebounded nearly27USD.

Investors expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates after a two-day meeting on Wednesday50One basis point to curb soaring inflation. The speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will be carefully scrutinized to seek further signals of interest rate hikes. In order to cope with exceeding40The Federal Reserve is increasingly aggressively using monetary policy tools due to the most severe inflation in years, and is expected to raise interest rates at its policy meeting this week50Basis points and announced the start of a scale reduction of up to9A trillion dollar balance sheet. Manufacturers are increasingly concerned about supply, and the United States4monthISMmanufacturingPMIRecorded55.4The expansion momentum of factory activities has reached a new low in over a year and a half. Consumers, on the other hand, need to spend more to keep up with the soaring cost of living. But it has been surpassed by the increase in household costs. Due to inflation40The highest level in many years, which worries everyone. Inflation is having an impact on the US economy, with almost all commodities from natural gas to groceries experiencing sharp price increases. The task of the Federal Reserve is to slow down the US economy enough to control inflation, but observers are concerned that the economy may fall into recession. Due to the sanctions imposed by the West on Russia, the global supply chain has further disrupted, especially the increasingly worrying outlook for energy security, which has strengthened the momentum of soaring inflation. Gold remains attractive in terms of anti inflation.

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:

Technical analysis of gold: Gold continued to decline in early trading today, with its lowest intraday decline reaching1850First line, during the US market period, the golden self1850The front line continues to rise, and the current highest has been reached1877Nearby, in terms of daily structure, gold is still weak overall, with a high probability of closing positive today. Currently, attention is being paid above the short term1876Can it be broken through and stabilized? This is the golden section of strong pressure0.382Nearby resistance level, if gold breaks through here, it will shift from weak to volatile, but as long as the price remains at1895Running below, the short selling trend of gold will not be disrupted, and after adjustment, it will continue to decline;

　　​4In terms of hourly structure, after the previous sharp decline, the indicatorstochAndMACDThe indicators are severely oversold, and the current bullish rise of gold is also a demand for repair. Once the indicators are repaired, it will once again guide gold to launch a downward impact. Overall, gold is still in a bearish trend, and the rebound is only a correction for the previous decline. After yesterday's continuous downward trend, the decline in price reduction has slowed down4The hour also includes a small negative line with a longer shadow line, indicating that the buying support from below is gradually strengthening. Previously1876Formed1The bottom deviation rebound has ended, falling below1876After,4There are signs of forming a double bottom deviation during the hour, and it can only be confirmed after the fast and slow lines form a golden cross,kIn terms of line structure, it is necessary to go back to1875Above, it is expected that at this time4A bottom divergence of hours can form, but due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in the latter half of tomorrow night, even if a second level bottom divergence forms, it is expected that the rebound will not be strong until the interest rate decision is announced,4Hours tend to be in a state of low volatility. Overall, Chen Zeqiang suggests a pullback in short-term gold operations today, with a focus on long positions and a rebound in short positions as a supplement. Pay attention to the above1888-1890Frontline resistance in the US dollar, following below1858-1860US dollar support, specific operational strategies I will prompt in the session and pay attention in a timely manner. The recent market turbulence has been significant, with opportunities and risks coexisting. Control risks and increase profits.

　　5.4Today's Gold Operations Strategy Reference:

Empty order strategy:

Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1888-1890Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss5Points, target1875-1870Nearby, break down and take a look1865frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)

Multiple order strategy:

Strategy 2: Gold Callback1858-1860Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1875-1885Nearby, break down and take a look1890frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)

Silver Analysis-Spot silver

In terms of silver, on Monday, the Asian and European markets saw a small decline in silver, while the US market plummeted to22.1After a rapid rebound, the daily trend ended with a small negative column with a long down lead. Compared to gold, silver is very gentle, so from this perspective, gold needs to consider adjusting its trend today. Today, silver is mainly adjusted, look22.5Support, above22.9Nearby, this is a short line. Da Si Lu is still bearish. If given23.5-24.0This interval is empty in batches. silverTDThe same approach applies to investment products such as paper and silver.

　　【crude oilanalysis-US crude oil

Crude oil opened today at104.957dollar/Barrel, crude oil in the Asian and European markets showed a volatile retreat trend, reaching its highest point105.771If the US dollar encounters resistance and withdraws, the minimum amount given is103.3Horizontal stabilization. Crude oil bottomed out and rebounded yesterday, including a large positive line with a long downward shadow, leading to the emergence of oil bullsVType reversal, oil prices in95.2The level stabilizes and rises, reaching the highest point107.9The US dollar has completed a wave of upward and downward trend, and retreated on Tuesday100.1The US dollar is stabilizing and rising, so today's oil price trend will be crucial,100-106A new trend will emerge when the interval breaks. In summary, Chen Zeqiang summarized that the focus is on the impact of evening data. In today's operation, we will consider the strategy of high altitude and low abundance. Today, the oil price will open high and low, with high points not breaking and resistance levels not breaking. Please pay attention to the above105.3-106.0USD resistance, follow below100.0-98.2USD support.

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting