Guide Metallographer:5.2今日黄金空军势如破竹，有望突破1850

　　思路决定出路，这是指南金师一直强调的观点，因为如果出发点就错了，那么路就会走歪了，指南金师一直传达的理念就是，无论行情如何运行，绝对保持客观的分析，不掺杂任何的个人观念，才能够很好地理解投资市场的真谛，没有耐心，即等不到鸟语也等不到花香，更等不到获利那一刻的到来。分析如同排兵布阵，交易就是战斗，思路清晰操作起来就会得心应手，其实，盈利本就很简单，没有必要复杂化，一套稳定盈利的系统，加上合格的操作心态，让盈利成为一种常态！

　　goldLatest Market Analysis

Monday(5month2day)亚市盘中，金融市场出现波动。美元指数短线出现一波急涨，美元指数亚市早盘一度跌破103.10，但随后短线快速上涨，目前交投在103.35附近。现货黄金加速下滑，金价刚刚一度跌破1890dollar/盎司关口。金价在美元走强的背景下难以找到持续的看涨势头。一些分析师称，美元存在强劲动能。美联储定于当地时间周三宣布利率决定，眼下市场预计其将在接下来的3次会议上激进加息。本周投资者将迎来美联储利率决议和美国非农就业报告，预计将引发市场重大行情。

Thursday Hong Kong Time02:00Federal Open Market Commission(FOMC)The interest rate resolution will be announced; Thursday, Hong Kong time02:30，美联储主席鲍威尔将召开货币政策新闻发布会。根据CME美联储观察最新数据显示，5Monthly interest rate hike50个基点的可能性高达为99.6%，一个月之前仅为43.9%。香港时间周五20:30The United States will announce4月非农就业报告，这是本周最重磅的经济指标。经济学家预计，美国4月非农就业人口料增加39Wan, previously3Monthly increase43.1Ten thousand; United States4月失业率料持平，维持在3.6%的低位。近期俄乌战争带来了市场避险的高涨，而美元是投资者广被看好的避险资产。在美联储几乎肯定5Month and6月加息，且7月很有可能加息的情况下，非生息资产黄金已失去投资者的青睐。在本周的货币政策决定公布之前，美元走势有点超前。美联储任何中性或鸽派论调都可能压低美元，推高金价。

　　黄金技术面分析：本周行情重要的不是技术面，而是市场消息面，本周重点数据在美联储利率决议，ADP，失业金，非农数据上，其中，5月市场加息环境较大，4月底的这轮下跌可能也是受加息影响，美制大涨，对应黄金走弱下跌，周四确定加息黄金还有一波下跌空间，再看周五非农数据的实际影响来决定5月的大方向。

　　那么，周内的行情分阶段看，周一，周二不看数据，周三开始做数据行情，周一，周二偏弱走势，交易以做空为主，周内支撑或到1885、1870，先关注1870的得失，如果破位，趋势走出来，本周会迎来大跌空间，或看1780，周初不破1870，周三周四周五再看数据表现，如果周五非农数据出现反转，大涨在本周上方可见1960。周初技术面交易以短线为主，日内关注1890and1880的得失，早盘弱势不追空，1890有强支撑，不破有快速反弹，破位还有下跌空间，下跌至1870可做多，综合来看，今日黄金短线操作上指南老师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注1890-1885Frontline resistance in the US dollar, following below1865-1860USD support.

　　【crude oilMarket Trend Analysis

Last week, crude oil hit a high and fell back, but ended lower. After reaching a single high in the week, it quickly turned negative. The high did not last and did not continue every other week. After a short-term decline, this week tends to decline, with a weekly rebound and a slightly dull daily trend.KThe entity of the line is slightly smaller, and it is brewing on one side during sorting. In terms of news: International institutions have lowered their expectations for global crude oil demand this year, the Federal Reserve is expected to significantly raise interest rates, and the global fight against the epidemic still faces severe challenges, suppressing the outlook for crude oil demand. However, with the European embargo on Russian crude oil, OPEC has shown no signs of further production increase and has always supported oil prices. Many institutions are still optimistic about the future prospects of oil prices.

　　4The hour chart was lowered in the sawing process,109.90The high point forms a downward wave shape and rebounded last week105.40Secondary pressure, which can be considered as localBThe wave rebounds at a high point, and after breaking low, it becomes a small levelCThe wave continues, and with last Friday's seesaw decline, the probability of breaking the low and continuing this week is high, with a weaker short-term trend.1The hour chart is repeatedly sorted and finally closed at a low position, and sawing is the norm. The closing determines the continuation of the strength of the next day. With the closing price at a low level, the short-term trend is relatively weak today, and the critical point is also the second highest point105.40.As a step down channel running as an hour chart, relying on the second highest point for defense at the beginning of the week to be bearish, the resistance is102.50Each area is bearish. Looking back below99.0-98.0.One area.

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