Guide Metallographer:5.2Today's gold crash broke through1870Continue to chase the empty space with the momentum

Message: Investment is like playing chess. Those with high chess skills can see five, seven, or even a dozen steps, while those with low chess skills can only see two or three steps. High players consider the overall situation and plan the overall situation, not prioritizing one piece and one place, with the ultimate goal of winning the game. Low players compete for every inch of land, only for temporary needs, resulting in frequent difficulties. Trends must have a long-term vision, investments must have long-term planning, and trading skills are the key to success.

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Monday（5month2During the Asian session, spot gold slightly weakened and is currently trading in1887Near the US dollar, last Friday the US dollar fell from its high point, providing an opportunity for gold prices to rebound. In addition, with a sharp drop in US stocks, gold prices rebounded at one point1920The US dollar is around, but market attention is still focused on this week's Federal Reserve resolution, with widespread expectations for interest rate hikes50A basis point, and this week there will be heavyweight economic data such as non agricultural data. Market expectations are relatively optimistic, and the long position in the US dollar has increased. There is still a risk of further pullback in gold prices in the future. Monday will welcome the United States4monthISMmanufacturingPMIMarket expectations are57.6, previous value is57.1。 Tuesday will usher in the United States3Monthly factory order rate, market expectation is1.2%, previous value is-0.5%。 Wednesday will usher in the United States4monthADPEmployment and the United States4monthISMNon manufacturingPMIMarket impact on the United States4monthISMNon manufacturingPMIThe expectation is58.5, previous value is58.3。 Friday will usher in the United States4The monthly non farm employment report predicts that the labor market will continue to perform strongly. In addition, this week will also see the Federal Reserve of Australia's decision (Tuesday) and the Bank of England's interest rate decision (Thursday), with market expectations for rate hikes respectively15Basis points and25Basis points. This will increase the opportunity cost of holding gold and also be detrimental to the gold price. Considering the still tense geopolitical situation, the survey shows that most analysts and retail investors are still bullish on the future of gold. According to past trends, gold prices tend to decline before the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, but often rise against the trend after raising interest rates. Investors can refer to this at their discretion.

Last Friday, gold rose, fell, and closed lower, while the US dollar briefly fell, boosting gold prices to quickly rebound in the short term, with a maximum rebound of1919.80dollar|ounce. During the end of the trading period, it fell under pressure and returned1900Below, the final harvest of the Moon Line is the Mid YinKLine, different from the previous oneKDouble shadow lines formed by lines to detect high pressure, monthKThe line shape tends to fall back. The weekly closing formed a double negative line and closed lower, but although there was a lower break last week1890Low point, but the continuity of the first break is insufficient. This week, we will still pay attention to the continuation of the break. The second break will form an effective breakdown, which will further open up the space for short-term downward wave extension. After the daily line rebounds with the double yang, the second yangKThe line draws out the upper shadow, and the rebound does not close high. The rebound is only a correction, with strong persistence, combined with the high and low intensity of the closing. It can be seen that the closing price is not high, and the correction is not considered strong. The normal correction area is weak, but only three. Last Friday was the second trading day to rebound and show signs of pressure after correction. This week, we will rely on1920Defend and continue to see the weak turning downwards. However, as the moving average indicator has not yet fully turned, the daily level will continue to move repeatedly. Although it is a downward wave shape, it will take some time for the moving average to turn downwards.4After a continuous positive rebound in the hourly chart, it quickly turns negative and returns to vomit, breaking through1910After breaking through the weak trend and fluctuating, but failing to stabilize in the late trading session, it can be seen that the rebound is just a flash in the pan. Insufficient sustainability, expected to weaken again after closing lower. In the short term, the rebound within the day will take place at a high altitude. Overall, the guidance for the short-term operation of gold today is recommended by the teacher to pay close attention to the above in the short term1900-1905Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1870-1865Frontline support.

　　crude oilAnalysis of Clan Market:

Last week, US oil continued to fluctuate and rise, mainly due to market concerns about the impact of the European oil embargo on Russia on tight crude oil supply. Last week, Meiyou briefly surged to108The first line has not broken through, and the timeliness of the market brought by sudden news is limited. Last Friday, crude oil experienced a significant retracement, falling back to103.4A dark line with an upward shadow in the area where the daily line is closed. Looking at the daily structure alone, the short-term US oil market has not completely overcome the bullish trend, and the market is still above the moving average. However, from a structural perspective, there is a need for continued correction in the market this week, and we will focus on the following10、20Daily line102.5、101.5Nearby support testing, once20Daily line101.5If the market falls behind, it is likely that the market will return to below the moving average, and there is a possibility of another downward trend.

Combined with the hourly chart structure, the market rose on Friday and then fell back, falling to103.4On the front line, the support of the short-term trend line below has not broken, as well as the breakthrough point suddenly pulled up by the influence of the news surface103It has not been broken either, indicating that the overall upward structure of the current market has not been disrupted, but it is also precarious. Once the market falls back this week103If so, the trend is likely to change. Therefore, caution is still needed in operations at the beginning of this week, especially to prevent unpredictable risks that may arise from the news.

At the beginning of the week, radicalism can be achieved by rebounding104.8-105Nearby short space with stop loss105.5Above, look down at the target103.4-0Reduce position, change to break even and stop loss, may retain some of the holding orders for viewing103Defeat, market retreat102、101even to the extent that100The possibility of.

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