Guo Shengshan:5.2今日黄金走势分析，原油最新操作建议

Teaching people to fish is not as good as teaching them to fish. Investing in small and broad things is the true charm of investment, and holding onto confident profits is the foundation of financial management! Investment itself is a form of self cultivation. Only through continuous cultivation can one be promoted to the ranks of successful individuals. To go further, who is the key to walking with,How far a person can go depends on who they have with them;How excellent a person is depends on their guidance

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

　　美联储公布的3The monthly meeting minutes show that more Federal Reserve officials have made hawkish speeches, strengthening5Monthly interest rate hike50A signal of one basis point. In addition, Federal Reserve Chairman PowellIMFAt the group discussion, it was stated that given that the current inflation rate in the United States is approximately the same as that of the Federal Reserve2%Triple the target and taking action faster is appropriate. They hope to control inflation as soon as possible, indicating to the market that they will take radical action. Affected by the surge in trade deficit and slowing inventory growth, the United States announced its first quarterGDPUnexpected shrinkage, equivalent to an annual decrease1.4%，由于供应中断、劳动力短缺和高通胀减缓了经济复苏步伐。本周美联储定于当地时间本周三宣布利率决定，眼下市场预计其将在接下来的3次会议上激进加息。市场目前关注的焦点是美联储5month3日开始的为期两天的政策会议，预计届时美联储官员将升息0.5Percentage points.

　　黄金强势冲高2000大关迎来崩盘回落，一路连破1950—1900大关，空军瞬间扭转局势。主要还是受美联储5月加息预期影响，黄金大部分多头出现了获利了结。本周黄金承压1930压力延续走低，最低触及1870关口得以缓解跌势，并迎来反弹回升至1920关口，代表1870附近具有大量买盘支撑。从当前走势来看黄金虽然有所回暖，但最终冲高1920关口受阻回落，并且最终收官未能企稳1900大关，吞没日内所有涨幅。由此可见1920关口还是空头压制点，毕竟趋势还是空头趋势，此位置也是底顶转换关键点，反弹修复或将再次结束，空头将继续肆虐。

　　黄金月线收官连续两根冲高回落KLines, especially4月收阴配合之前流星线，更加明确了高位压力，预期五月将延续跌势。周线方面也是连阴下跌失守1900大关，MA5—MA10均线开始死叉下行，本周有望继续测试1980关口支撑。从日线来看冲高1920关口跌回1900下方，冲高回落收以星线，带有长长上引线，技术性反弹修复或将告一段落，短期均线依然维持死叉势头，MACD绿柱能继续提供空头动能，综合以上分析空头趋势压制下有望继续走低，并且有望跌破1970前低。目前下方关注1880附近支撑，上方压力关注1900大关附近，操作上尽量以空为主。

　　5.2Golden Strategy:

　　1--1882Nearby, stop loss1877, Objective1890-1896

　　2--1900Near empty, stop loss1907, Objective1893-1888

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

Monday（5month2During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting104.73dollar/桶；油价上周五在震荡交投中转升为跌，受累于美国取暖油futures合约到期当天一度大跌逾20%；两大指标原油上周双双上涨，月线连续第五个月上涨。布伦特原油上月上涨1.3%，美国原油涨幅为4.4%。随着油价超过每桶100美元，美国最主要页岩油田二叠纪盆地的产量正在上升。根据美国能源信息署(EIA)数据，下个月产量预计将达到创纪录的51010000 barrels/日。交易员表示，美国墨西哥湾沿岸的炼油厂更倾向于加工重硫原油，留下大部分轻质原油可供出口。石油分析公司的首席经济学家David Wech说，“由于一些炼油商目前规避俄罗斯原油，对替代油源的需求增加了对美国原油的需要。”他补充说，对于复合程度较低的炼油厂来说，加工轻质低硫原油较为容易，往往能帮助它们抵消较高的加工成本。俄罗斯是欧洲最大的石油供应国，根据欧盟统计局的数据，2020年俄罗斯提供的石油占欧洲进口量的略逾四分之一。总体来看，美国对欧洲供油增加，疫情蔓延担忧犹存，OPECOr in the5month5日的会议上同意6月再次小幅提高产量，油价短线或偏向利空，日内关注欧盟紧急能源部长会议。

　　原油技术面分析；原油上周五探高回落收低，日线小阴K线，最高触及107.90一带，尾盘承压回落至103.70.日内高低点都在尾盘时段形成。同时收在低位。日线布林道开始收口，本周暂时仍看在日布林道的上下轨区间内震荡，上周五的高点即是上轨的阻力，目前轻微受阻，看向下轨回落。4小时短线多头放量之后形成冲高回落，十字K线配合大阴K线收低，单从上周五的形态收盘来看，短线承压，但节奏上还是震荡，本周周初先看承压回落。4小时形态上受阻，短线会有延续，加上日线布林道收口，上轨压制向下轨回落。周初依托108.0高点做防守，反弹先行择机高空。综合来看，今日原油操作思路上郭晟衫建议上方短期重点关注106.7-107.2One line of resistance, pay attention below102.0-101.5Frontline support.

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,Due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.