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鼎盛金师:下周黄金,白银,原油行情走势分析预测

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投资最重要的不是你一次能够赚取多少,而是你能不能控制风险,落袋为安,长久地立足生存。投资理财世界里面蕴藏着数不尽的财富。我们没有必要也不可能把它的财富在一朝一夕都收入囊中


Friday(4month29day),gold价格上涨,因投资者在金融市场动荡的一个月结束之际寻求避险,美元的飙升势头有所缓和。美市尾盘,现货黄金收报1897.02element/Ounces, up2.54USD or0.13%The highest daily hit1919.82dollar/Ounces, lowest touch1892.41dollar/ounce. This week, spot gold fell34.13USD or1.77%。下周美联储将公布利率决定,黄金市场正屏息以待。分析师预计美联储将无视美国第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)数据的意外下滑,仍专注于抗击通胀。

  美联储加息落地前黄金仍将承压:美联储定于当地时间下周三宣布利率决定,眼下市场预计其将在接下来的3次会议上激进加息。“市场预期未来12个月将升息约250个基点市场正仔细关注美联储下周的两大动作:加息50个基点和开始启动量化紧缩。美元存在强劲动能,因美联储准备在下周升息50Basis points.

  下周一黄金走势预测:下周三美联储将公布货币政策,市场预期是100%raise interest rates50个基点,这无疑会提振了美元,打压黄金,此举从周五黄金收盘的情况可以反映出来,因此下周初鼎盛金师更看好黄金给出下跌,至于加息后,美元可能会短期见顶,除此之外,货币动态意味着黄金是唯一可以信任的资产,因此下周尾黄金给出探底回升的可能并不低。

  ——黄金技术面分析,下周一黄金还会跌吗?——

  黄金日线上来看,周五给出金针探顶形态,这无疑加大下周一黄金再次冲高回落的风险,目前日线价格持续受10Daily and20日均线压制,同时价格仍未站上5日均线,趋势仍偏空运行,MACD方面,快慢线金叉开口持续放大,且下破0轴,绿色量能柱仍未缩量,加之日线价格仍未远离布林带下轨,日线趋势仍处于空头运行。4小时线上看,周五黄金在本轮下跌区间0.382回撤位遇阻回落,价格连阴收盘,且穿插于5Day10Day20日均线,布林带开口趋平,价格虚破中轨向下,MACD快慢线虽金叉运行,但仍压制于0轴下方,趋势处于震荡偏空运行。整体来看,下周一上方关注1912、1920Pressure level, pay attention below1890、1880支撑,操作上鼎盛金师仍建议以反弹做空为主。

  下周一黄金操作策略:

Strategy 1: Suggest a rebound in the market to1902-1904Short selling, stop loss1912, Objective1895-1890;

  策略二:若下周行情再次站上1915Long, stop loss1909, Objective1925Near.

  白银技术分析及下周预测:

  周五白银反弹后再次遭遇空头打击,最终破位下跌,显示了空头极端行情,空头打压总是来的急速干脆,而多头酝酿上涨总是慢速墨迹,日k线收一根上影较长的阴线,白银已经连续大幅下跌,对市场造成了极大的冲击力。而白银ETF也开始大量减持仓位。周k线拉出了大阴实体。下方白银在23美元一线存在一定的阶段性支撑。因此从谨慎的角度来看。下周操作上鼎盛金师建议可以在22附近尝试短多布局。白银最多跌至22.50美元就会转入震荡运行格局,这个运行格局在22.50-23.50section.

SilverTDJust follow the trend of spot buying and selling, of course, the pressure is concentrated now5150If encountering a direct short entry game and adjusting again, try not to participate in other positions as much as possible, and now switch between top and bottom5150Regional pressure continues to short5350损即可。下周操作上建议白银TD直接遇到4850区域分批多。

  crude oilMarket analysis:

  原油上周四如期大涨,突破了前一日的盘整平台上沿压制,多头情绪在俄罗斯断供波兰石油供给消息的加持下咄咄逼人,日线也是实体中阳线收定,因此短线的高点还会不断出现,下周依然建议看涨做多。原油操作建议回落至103.50First line buying, risk control102.90Below, target104.60-105.00If it breaks up, open the up space to see it107.30Nearby or108.20。之前按照反弹e浪来看待,但是如果下周多头继续强攻则意味着反弹结构发生变化,反弹幅度也将超出之前的推演,逐步演变成Bwavec的二次上行。

——This article is contributed by Ding Sheng Jin Shi.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Technical Director Dingsheng Jinshi Online Solution Set,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.!

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