Guide Metallographer:4.29今日黄金原油最新行情分析，黄金启动反弹

　　不谋全局者不足谋一城，市场风云，变幻莫测，定其心，观其势，谋定而后动， 不乱于心，不困于情。，运筹帷幄之中，方能决胜千里之外。

LatestgoldMarket trend analysis

　　基本面，昨日的基本面美国的第一季度GDP结果不及预期，本身预期就只有1.1%的背景下，结果实际值只有-1.4%，这让市场避险情绪有一定的增强，今日的基本面主要关注17:00Eurozone4monthCPI年率初值和欧元区第一季度GDP年率初值。美盘开始时段看20:30The United States of America3Monthly CorePCE物价指数年率和美国3月个人支出月率以及美国3Monthly CorePCE物价指数月率。稍晚看22:00The United States of America4月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值。

　　黄金本轮下跌，主要因美元指数暴涨，打压了金价，此种走势美元指数若出现大的回调，黄金将强势反弹一波。美国GDP出现负增长，且通胀还是存在的，那么美联储加息的节奏还能不继续推进下去，尚未可知。

　　四小时级别上看，黄金运行在布林带中下轨，黄金在1998美元遇阻后下跌运行了一个三段下跌行情，在触及1872一线后出现了一波强势上涨，进一步改变了之前空头回撤格局，现阶段出现了一个ABC的反转形态，如果今日黄金回撤幅度不出现加速，大概率上黄金有望出现一波上涨连续，上方阻力位关注1920-1925水平阻力，回撤下方支撑关注1895-1890一线支撑，进一步下破后将改变看涨强度，出现转弱震荡徘徊。综上所述总结：黄金筑底反弹，但是上方阻力位依旧存在，今日操作上考虑回撤布局为主，反弹做空为辅，上方关注1920-1925USD resistance, follow below1895-1890美元支撑。具体操作策略我会在盘中提示，及时关注。

　　crude oiltechnical analysis

　　美油昨日先如预期的在103—100区间内震荡，然晚盘时段，因市场担忧欧盟禁运俄油，导致美油后半夜冲破103压力，出现一波连续拉升，高点测压至105.6一线，日线收得一阳。此前预期美油在103—100之间走横盘震荡后可能会出现突破走势，上破会因消息面影响，下破则更多的是技术需要，从目前已经走出的情况来看，隔夜的拉升也确实是受市场消息面的影响，但是消息面影响的走势对于操作并不有利，主要是因为消息面的无序性和时效性的问题。

　　日内美油暂时选择观望为宜，规避无从预判的消息面未知风险，技术点位俄关注105.6-106一带短压，下方关注隔夜跳空缺口103.3-0一带回补，激进则选择此区间进行短线低多高空，风险较大，务必极轻仓对待，严格带好保护止损。

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