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时间,会沉淀最真的情感;风雨,会考验最暖的陪伴。走远的,只是过眼云烟;留下的,才是值得珍惜的情缘。来得热烈,未必守得长久;爱得平淡,未必无情无义。眼睛看到的或许是假象,心的感受才最真实。时间告诉我们,简单的喜欢,最长远;平凡的陪伴,最心安;懂你的人,最温暖。想成为大树,就不要和小草去比!短期来看,草的生长速度和树相比,肯定是草的长势明显,但是几年过后,草换了几拨,而树依旧是树。所以这个世界上只有古树、大树,却没有古草、大草。投资一样如此,重要的不是一时的快慢,而是持久的发展力。一个内心不够自信和强大的人,往往需要靠发脾气来提高自己的气场,这是一种自卑的潜在表现。真正内心强大的人是极其柔软的,善于掌控局面者可做到淡定与从容,高人似水,善利万物
goldLatest Market Analysis
Tuesday(4month26day)Gold closed slightly higher. The previous day, gold closed at2The lowest level since the end of the month was due to investors turning to other high-quality products for safety and leaving gold behind. At the end of the US market, spot gold closed1905.04element/Ounces, up7.16USD or0.38%The highest daily hit1911.08dollar/Ounces, lowest touch1895.55dollar/Ounces. In the past few days, due to factors such as the sharp rise of the US dollar, the price of gold has weakened significantly and has fallen to1890Near the important support level, there is a certain demand for adjustment in gold prices, and after the sustained sharp rise of the US dollar index, there has also been some pullback. Geopolitical concerns remain, attracting some bargain hunters to enter. However, currently it appears that the short-term strength of the US dollar is difficult to improve, and the rebound space of gold prices may be limited, so further downward exploration risks cannot be ruled out. On this trading day, investors need to continue to pay attention to the situation in Russia and Ukraine and the news about the COVID-19. In terms of economic data, attention needs to be paid to the United States3The performance of monthly durable goods orders is currently expected to be optimistic in the market, with a bias towards bearish gold prices before the data is released.
On the news front, the market expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates separately in the next two meetings0.5One percentage point. At the same time, this also raises concerns in the market that aggressive tightening policies may damage the global economy. Given the particularity of this interest rate hike cycle, the Federal Reserve faces more uncertainty on how to ensure that economic growth does not derail while suppressing inflation. However, globally, the US dollar remains a relatively high-quality asset. Goldman Sachs predicts that the Federal Reserve may raise overnight loan rates to2.5%, to2023The last quarter of the year will be raised to3.25%. We believe that it is too early to conclude that solving the inflation problem will inevitably lead to an economic recession in the coming years. Despite the significant strengthening of the US dollar suppressing gold prices, the uncertainty surrounding the negative impact of the conflict in Ukraine continues to increase, making gold a safe haven asset that remains attractive to investors.
Technical analysis of gold: Looking at the daily chart of gold, yesterday's significant decline in gold prices recorded a large physical negative lineKThe line pattern directly tests the support of the two low points in March, although there are temporary signs of a stop in the decline in gold pricesMACDThe dual line indicators are still in a dead cross process, indicating that there is still an opportunity for further continuation of the downward trend in the future. However, at this stageKDJThe third line of indicators is operating at a low level, and today's prices opened lower and further awayMA5Under the pressure of moving averages, one should be cautious of any rebound in gold prices during the dayMA5Confirming the effect of pressure on the moving average and short-term retracement of high points1915It is a crucial position. Today, the price has rebounded to over 99%. If we want to continue the rebound, then the low price also needs to extend1890So it won't be worn down. In this case, the first target of the top bulls is1950The checkpoint also means that there is no room for a decline. Because today we will be1900Going long below, we don't have any plans for the middle or long term, but we have a clear goal of price increase1950-53After positioning, we will treat this round of multiple orders as a short-term one!
Small cycle4In the hourly chart, it can be seen that gold has rebounded slightly and consolidated, forming a cross star and a continuous bullish line at a low level. It can be certain that gold will not hit a new low again today,1891Or the lowest point of this week, with continuous small rebounds,4Performance of small fragmented yang during childhoodkThe upward trend is based on a stable foundation, and then we will look at a significant increase. CurrentlykThe line hovers around5Near the daily moving average, the upper resistance is110Daily moving average1915Just look at the strong rebound within the day1915Look at the high point, look at the low point1890From a low level oscillation perspective. For intraday trading, it is best to trade on a large scale within the day1915Short selling,1890Go long, but slowly rise before reaching1890Difficult, therefore, it is recommended to decline in the Asia Europe region1896More support. Breakthrough in the US market1915则转势看涨。综合来看,今日黄金操作上指南金师建议短线回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方关注1910-1916Frontline resistance in the US dollar, following below1890-1885USD support.
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