黄金这一轮多头是比较关键的时刻,真正的下跌是从1998开始的。按照江恩星向上回踩的极限结束1893,同样也是高位震荡时间拉长后出现的回踩。但是价格依然是在1885位置顶住,周一其实是我们上周提出的低点时间窗;只不过上周五没有出低点,或者是我们把低点放得太高,并没有考虑到极限回踩。不过说这一些都已经没意义,过去了的就是过去了。一直讲过去对后市的节奏也不好把握,只能说我们把这一波行情想得太简单,其实关键就是高位震荡后下跌结束,后面到底是重新上升,还是二次回踩,我们选择重新上升走震荡,将1891区域当做反弹1953区域位置的低点,那我们仍然是按照前期计划,看后面会不会重新上升!综合来看,今日黄金操作上郭晟衫建议短线回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方短期关注1915-1920One line of resistance, pay attention below1890-1885Frontline support.
基本面,昨日的基本面美国3月耐用品订单月率实际值只有0.8%差于预期的1%但好于前值,随后的美国4月谘商会消费者信心指数表现也比较稳定,所以在下周美联储强势加息的大背景下,只要数据不出特别重大意外,美指提前启动拉升都是不可改变的事实,而在此背景下,金银回落周期也已经出现,只要破位行情将完成周期头部构造,今日的基本面重点关注22:00The United States of America3月成屋签约销售指数月率。随后看22:30From the United States to4month22Day and WeekEIACrude Oil Inventory and US Shipping4month22Day and WeekEIAStrategic petroleum reserve inventory.
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