Original gold oil:4.26黄金晚间最新走势分析及策略

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Tuesday(4month26day)欧市早盘，美元指数短线急涨，最高触及101.92，刷新两年新高；现货黄金短线跳水，金价再度跌破1900dollar/盎司，目前金价跌至1898dollar/盎司附近。现货黄金处于震荡交投基本持稳。过去几天因为美元大涨等因素，金价大幅走弱，在跌至1890Near the important support level, there is a certain demand for adjustment in gold prices, and after the sustained sharp rise of the US dollar index, there has also been some pullback. Geopolitical concerns remain, attracting some bargain hunters to enter. However, currently it appears that the short-term strength of the US dollar is difficult to improve, and the rebound space of gold prices may be limited, so further downward exploration risks cannot be ruled out. On this trading day, investors need to continue to pay attention to the situation in Russia and Ukraine and the news about the COVID-19. In terms of economic data, attention needs to be paid to the United States3The performance of monthly durable goods orders is currently expected to be optimistic in the market, with a bias towards bearish gold prices before the data is released.

　　由于美联储在5月会议上升息50个基点的预期已成定局，交易商上周五纷纷押注美联储在未来几个月将进一步大幅升息，以遏制不断飙升的通胀。黄金对美国利率上升和收益率上升高度敏感，这将增加持有非孽息黄金的机会成本，同时提振美元。然而，在经济和政治危机期间，它被视为一种安全的保值手段。美联储希望通过快速收紧货币政策，实现抑制通胀的同时避免经济衰退，由此引发美元暴涨，提高了非美元持有人的购金成本，进而抑制金价。对利率升高和经济衰退的担忧导致股市大跌。现在投资者面临的最大风险是食品和汽油价格飙升，加上重大刺激计划结束，消费支出意愿和能力会下降，黄金将愈发显示出抗通胀魅力。

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金昨天继续暴跌，最低跌至1900下方，日线收大阴线，目前已经冲击到了重要支撑位置，重点关注1900附近支撑，若日线能在这里震荡企稳，就有望筑底成功，之后借助加息利空出尽变利多上涨。当然短期明显偏空，不排除真的会跌破1900关口继续下跌，不过仍然要强调，下跌只是短期的，中长期仍然看涨。一旦下跌结束就是布局多单的好时机，不过目前看不出来，稳健的可以继续耐心等待，激进的可以在1890-1895支撑区域尝试做多。

　　今天价格已经回升到千九上方，如果要继续反弹，那么低位价格也需要走延伸，黄金4小时级别来看，当前黄金震荡慢涨，属于对前面波段1955Down to1891的修正，整体上黄金目前仍然是空头，日内短线上方关注1916一线阻力，只要价格承压在1916之下运行，行情反弹就是属于弱势调整，调整结束将继续向下寻找支撑，指标Stoch超卖区金叉向上，MACD死叉快慢线运行在底部，快线开始拐头向上，绿柱持续缩量，ma5勾头向上，各指标显示黄金在大幅下跌后没能及时回补到位，那么短期黄金还将有反弹需求，而大级别目前是空头趋势，我们把这一轮多单当成短线来做！今天市场上应该会有大部分都会去选择做空，或者会在1905做空亦或者会在1916空。其实最后还是要出方向的，按照我们的交易系统来做的话这一轮还是倾向于看多。综合来看，今日黄金操作上老孔盘解建议短线回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方关注1920-1925One line of resistance, pay attention below1895-1890一线支撑。文章只能给您一个暂时的方向和想法，至于具体的进场点和解一套时机，请关注老孔盘解的实盘将实时给出。

　　1crude oilquotations analysis

　　①国际油价转弱，或重新跌向隔夜创下的近两周新低，市场继续担心中国抗疫封控措施给燃油需求带来的影响，且美国产量正在并将继续上升。不过，印度扩大进口石油可能限制油价下行空间。

　　②原油上周探高回落收低，周阳单阳摸高后快速转阴，摸高没有持续性，且隔周不延续。短线收低之后，本周倾向于走回落，周线回吐，日线稍显钝化。KThe entity of the line is slightly smaller, and it is brewing on one side during sorting. In terms of news: International institutions have lowered their expectations for global crude oil demand this year, the Federal Reserve is expected to significantly raise interest rates, and the global fight against the epidemic still faces severe challenges, suppressing the outlook for crude oil demand. However, with the European embargo on Russian crude oil, OPEC has shown no signs of further production increase and has always supported oil prices. Many institutions are still optimistic about the future prospects of oil prices.

　　③原油目前布局来看会进入一个震荡循环状态，也就是说高估低渣是主旋律，1小时图下探回升收高，局部有先行反弹之迹象，但收盘的位置决定后市强弱，今日若反弹之后能重新回落收低，则周中有望蓄势破低，反之进一步收高的话，短线则进入局部震荡拉锯，小时图下行趋势线的阻力点在101.50.晚间此位下暂定看空。

　　激进者可现价99.3附近空，99.7and100分批加空止损100.5target98-97