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Guide Metallographer:4.26Analysis of Today's Latest Gold Market Trends and Operational Suggestions

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  行情每时每刻都在发生变化,涨跌起伏的行情会使投资者存在侥幸和贪婪的心理,如果没有建立操作的纪律,帐面盈亏只能随着行情变化而波动,没有及时地止赢结算就没有形成实际的结果。

  跌幅止步并不意味着要做多,而是关注反弹的力度,在未能有强有力的反弹之下,行情的走势方向不会轻易改变,所以说短期还是趋势偏弱的行情对待。日内需要留意的是,本周刚开始周一跌幅之后,短期低位止步,那么关注低位反弹的力度,而上方参考点就是昨日晚间反弹的高点,1904/00附近的阻力情况,若持续上破,我们在做临盘调整。

  反弹高点压制下依旧未能上行,短期维持趋势弱势看待,继续看回落,低位虽然空间利润较小,但是结构方向未能发生变化,不要急于低位抢多参与。日内依旧维持弱势结构看待,反弹关键压制点下滞涨依旧主空参与,继续看回落!结构上下方1890一线也是前期触及低点,前期影线触及之后反弹,短期再次测试低位,需要留意的是低位低点的破位情况,一旦破位,那么下方依旧具备跌幅空间。

  市场预期美联储将在5Monthly interest rate increase50个基点已成定局,并可能在5月再升息50个基点的预期升温,包威尔上周四也表示年内会不止一次加息50个基点。由于美联储积极收紧政策遏制通胀,gold昨日早盘开盘呈现连续走弱。昨日走势早间开始跌一直到凌晨收盘,黄金的反抽力度都比较弱。目前黄金价格短暂企稳1890上方,美联储加息预期升温,美元及国债收益率连续走强,下方1880也是岌岌可危。一旦打破日线级别多头形态将触发更多抛压盘,黄金有进一步闪崩回到1800下方的可能。

  短期操作方面、昨日连续下破,而且反抽的力度非常弱,形态上形成极弱。昨日美盘以及凌晨承压的高点在1904附近,早间承压未能形成延续,午间形成突破并突破小时线布林带中轨,那么短期黄金还将有反弹需求。形态走弱,日内只要未突破1921,反抽的思路都是高空,那么上方参考布局空的位置就在昨日美盘小时线大阴线顶端1910附近,意外给到1915再加仓。注意日内能不能形成延续破低是关键,不排除短期先围绕1890上方盘整修正再破位下跌的可能。

  黄金策略分享:反弹1910Empty,1915Increase in position, loss1922, Objective1895nearby

  crude oiltechnical analysis

  原油下跌幅度更加强势,而且是丝毫没有反弹的动能,来到95区域运行,那么对于当下来说其实真正的方向趋势还是不明显,只能按照偏弱来对待,因为今日大跌的原因是受市场关注美联储加息问题,导致各大股市走跌,大家担忧紧缩经济下行对商品市场开始调整,油价不得不顺应下跌,只是当下的供应端依然紧张,所以还不能依照极弱来对待,即便跳水幅度大。后市在冲击100关口也不奇怪,所以指南老师建议大家不用着急追空,坐山观虎斗,方向明确后一击毙命。故而布局上指南老师建议大家关注下方93前双底支撑,同时也是起涨点,若跌破此位方能表明是极弱,否则再度再此位形成支撑走高,那么一切都将化为泡影,双方压制下移98.8-99一线此位再空不迟。

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