Guide Metallographer:4.26黄金反弹遇阻，欧盘1908下继续干空！

　　每一次成功的交易都离不开坚决的信心和敏锐的嗅觉，一次抓住机会是偶然，但多次把握机会就是对市场的了解及运筹帷幄产生的结果。自信与骄傲不同，自信者常沉着，而骄傲着常轻浮。

Message interpretation:

　　4month25日（周一）由于投资者对于美联储大幅加息预期不断的升温，美元指数延续上周的强势持续的飙升，涨幅达0.6%；在美盘前亚欧股市全面的重挫，大宗商品全面的重挫，gold一度跌幅近2%Touching1891.5美元，全球最大的黄金ETF周一减持2.9Tons to1101.23吨。非美货币全面的下跌，英镑与欧元均创出年底的新低。但是随着美国股市开盘，低开高走，在一定程度上提振了市场信心，恐慌情绪得到缓和。限制了大宗商品的跌幅。美联储在5month5Daily interest rate hike50个基点基本上是板上钉钉。至于部分预期美联储加息75个基点的概率，笔者认为概率相对较小。另外，每个月缩债960亿美元在利率决议当月实施还是6月份开始实施，都是市场关注的焦点。

　　本周三美国财长耶伦将在国会做证词报告，以及周四美国第一季度GDP数据的公布。第一季度GDP数据的好坏将在一定程度上影响美联储加息的速度。而美国财长耶伦在国会证词，对于经济前景的预期，以及可能面临的措施，对于通胀的看法都是对于未来经济的预期。当前全球面临高通胀，加息是解决通胀的最有效，也是最常见的方案，但是在疫情影响经济发展，俄乌冲突影响到全球供应链，过快过急的加息对经济也许会造成不可估量的伤害。近期全球各国纷纷下调2022年经济增长预期，上周国际经济组织同时下调了全球的增长预期。在大幅加息之下，如何保持经济的增长，考验着美联储。

Gold Technology Analysis:

　　黄金昨日震荡下行，美盘最低触及1891附近后开始低位震荡，目前最高反抽到了1903附近。昨日我们策略给出的做空，但是很可惜并未给到我们入场点位，但是我们在1892-93附近做了一个反抽的多单，拿下一部分利润，今日再接再厉！

　　日线三连阴，并且接近前期1890颈线低点支撑，这里是目前关键的支撑位，若跌破则会测试周线的20日均线支撑。亚欧盘不着急进场，关注是否继续下破，若不下破，那么今日可能走超跌反弹修正行情，也就是震荡。上方短线压制在昨日美盘二次下跌口1910-11位置，强压在前期多次形成的顶底转换1916-17附近，同时这轮跌幅1998fall to1891of0.236分割线压制也在1917附近，所以今日上方关键压制就在1916-1917位置，这里可以直接挂空单。毫无疑问，下方短线支撑在1890-91位置，跌破则下行测试周线20Daily moving average support1881-1880Location.

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　　操作建议如下：今日行情反抽不破1911位置做空，若突破则等1916-1917Short position, loss1922, look at the goal1891, lower rupture1890继续看到1880-81Location, given to1880附近反手做多。上方可以挂1917空，下方可以挂1880Many!