Chen Zeqiang:4.22黄金原油晚间行情走势分析及独家策略指导

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

　　——美联储鹰风阵阵gold多头百折不挠，避险情绪仍将支撑金价——

Friday(4month22day)亚市尾盘，现货黄金短线突然一波快速上涨，金价刚刚突破1955dollar/Ounces. Thursday(4month21day)，金价一度下跌至两周低点，承压于美国国债收益率的上升和风险偏好的增强，投资者预计美联储将采取积极的紧缩政策。

　　美联储主席鲍威尔在IMF的小组讨论会上称，“5月份会议上将对加息50基点进行讨论，我们致力于利用工具来将通胀率拉回到2%的目标水平”。实质收益率本周转正，加上美联储的鹰派言论，降低了黄金和白银的吸引力。尽管如此，随着俄乌冲突持续延烧，投资人的避险需求仍为金价带来支撑。

　　市场质疑美联储在提高利率同时，能够让经济软着陆的能力，金价走势在很大程度上反映出这一点。目前的金价与通胀与收益率攀高的关连不大，更多影响来自地缘政治风险和俄罗斯央行的转向，但黄金没有升得更多，令人有些惊讶。

　　——黄金技术面分析，今晚黄金还会跌吗？——

　　黄金日线来看，日线图暗示黄金未来还会进一步下跌。金价持续走低，目前正跌破温和看涨的20日均线。较长期均线仍远低于当前金价水平，而技术指标继续在正面区域内回落，并即将越过中线进入负面区域。4小时线来看，金价现在低于其所有主要均线，20周期均线在较长期均线上方加速下滑。与此同时，技术指标在负面区域内传递坚定的看空信号，符合金价出现又一波跌势的预期，至少在短期内如此，同时EMA50指标继续对金价形成负面压力。至于晚间操作上，陈泽强建议反弹做空为主。

Golden Night Operation Strategy:

　　策略一：建议反弹至1955-1956Short selling, stop loss1963, Objective1944、1936；

　　策略二：若行情上破1961Long, stop loss1956, Objective1971Near.

　　crude oilTrend analysis:

　　昨日原油早盘未能延续下行，价格上涨测试104位置遇阻回落，欧盘前后跌至102，该位置104做空思路在博文当中就已经强调，跟上思路就是获利。走出宽幅震荡，最终收高，这种基础上日内不要去追涨，今日再空一次。点位去关注104！短线价格交投103附近，日内时间修正位置在103，今日做空首先要注意这个关口，价格只有失守了这个位置且真正收低空头才有机会走出大跌行情！

Operation suggestions:104Empty, stop loss105, Objective101-98！

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting