Guide Metallographer:2.22今日黄金是涨是跌，指南已经写好答案

In this market, the most fair one is the market situation. All investors are facing the same market situation. However, facing the same market situation, investors will inevitably make different choices. When the market hits wave after wave like waves, some people face opportunities, prepare well, face them head-on, and stop making profits; Some people are afraid and unprepared, and are caught off guard by the market. The market is fair to everyone, it depends on how you face it. If you are the former, I can add icing on the cake for you; If you are the latter, I can lend you a helping hand.

　　goldLatest trend analysis:

Thursday(4month21day)，国际金价走弱，美债收益率反弹，增加持有非孳息资产的机会成本。但乌克兰危机及其对全球经济的潜在冲击仍支撑黄金避险需求。美国通胀年率创逾40年来最快增速，美联储将加快升息节奏的预期导致美债收益率走高。本周早些时候，由于对俄乌冲突和通胀压力上升的担忧增加了避险买需，黄金一度逼近2000美元重要整数关口。美联储周三公布的褐皮书显示，从2月中旬到4月初，美国经济以温和的速度扩张，高通胀和工人短缺对企业来说几乎没有喘息的机会。分析师表示：“由于没有突破2000美元的关键水平，人们可能已经决定获利了结。”他补充道，金价近期将在每盎司1940-1960美元区间内盘整。澳新银行公布的研报称：“地缘政治风险和通胀压力目前是黄金市场的两个主要驱动因素。美联储大幅加息预期可能会在短期内抑制价格，而供应冲击导致的通胀上升可能会减轻负面影响。”

　　黄金昨日先抑后扬，日线收成小阳K线，最低下探1938一线启稳，盘中由于美元高位下挫。以及对通胀和乌克兰战争导致经济增长放缓的担忧。提振黄金短线反弹收高，而技术结构上此前一个交易日快速下挫后，指标并未完全拐头，隔日只要一停顿。就会陷入震荡，短期依旧单边动能不足，加之消息面的不定性，而美元短期多空转换频繁，也将侧面影响到黄金的短线方向。短线伴随着反复拉锯。4小时连阴下探后伴随三连阳的反弹修正。由于昨日下跌持续性不强，今日仍是多空延续之关键，均线指标依旧未拐头向下，若是昨日延续弱势下挫，今日指标向下，就会表现弱势下行，而昨日走出反弹。使得日内短线继续回归拉锯震荡。加之震荡行情中的反复。K线结构和指标都未形成单边，日内短线暂时以震荡思路对待。1小时图的多空分水岭在1960-1965一带，亚盘观望，欧盘争夺分水岭来决定日内区间，综合来看，今日黄金操作上指南金师建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注1955-1960Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1925-1930Frontline support.

　　crude oilTrend analysis:

　　原油从技术面来看，日线级别震荡；均线交织，MACDBonding,KDJ金叉但初步拐头向下，短线走势变数较大，初步留意100.95-104.50The regional breakthroughs are as follows:55Daily moving average support and5日均线阻力。鉴于周四油价探底回升，100Gateway and55日均线失而复得，短线略微偏向多头，进一步阻力在4month5Daily high point105.59附近，若能顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号。如果油价上行受阻，并回落至隔夜低点99.88下方，则增加短线看空信号。日线图上看，NYMEXCrude oil from92.93USD starts to rise((3))浪走势。小时图上看，油价自99.89USD starts to rise3Wave trend, upward resistance looking towards38.2%Target bit106.09USD.3浪都是同样自92.93The upward trend of the US dollar opening(1)The sub waves of the waves,(1)浪隶属于((3))浪。油价维持震荡，但当前价格仍然运行在长期均线上方，主要技术指标都偏向多头。投资者以逢低吸纳为主。综合来看，今日短线操作思路指南金师建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注105.8-106Resistance, short-term focus below99.5-100Frontline support.

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