Guide Metallographer:2.22今日黄金还会下跌吗，“空”城计难以识破？

　　投资犹如下棋，棋艺高者能看出五步，七步甚至十几步，而棋艺低者只能看出两三步，高者顾大局，谋大势，不以一子一地为重，以最终赢棋为目标，低者则寸土必争，只为争一时之需，结果频频受困。趋势，一定要有长远眼光，投资，一定要有长远规划，而交易技巧是成功的关键。

　　goldTechnical analysis:

　　黄金周四白盘承压1957一线即再度下跌，跌至1950附近又反复争夺，并没有出现预期中的再反弹，反倒因俄乌局势影响在欧盘时段出现延续下跌，目前再度刺破1940Support, low point drops to1936frontline.

　　从日内黄金运行节奏来看，其与美元同步下跌，主要还是受俄乌局势影响，市场情绪出现异动，这样的状态不但不能给短线行情带来方向选择，反倒会加大短线行情操作上的难度，因为基本面与技术面需要并不是一致的。根据当前技术结构，短线黄金技术上就会偏向回落一些，上方可先关注1950附近短压争夺，下方则继续关注1940附近争夺先，但目前已经有刺破，所以也就可能会加大行情进一步回撤的预期，下方短线可先看1930-27一带争夺，如果黄金收在1940以下，那么后期行情回撤1910-00的概率也会加大。

　　操作建议如下：

　　①上方反弹1950可空参与，带止损1954Look at the target below1940附近，如破位看1937-35、1930-28区域回撤预期。

　　②如果行情反弹于1950上方运行，则上方再看1960附近再考虑空，带止损1965Look at the target below1953-50附近先减仓，剩余持单至1940Near.

　　③下方如果回撤至1930-28区域可再考虑搏一次超跌反弹，但仅限于短线单。

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday(4month21day)，国际油价上涨，西方国家对俄罗斯石油实施禁运而引发的供应担忧进一步凸显，尽管哈萨克斯坦原油出口阻力有望解除。石油输出国组织(OPEC)成员国利比亚周三(4month20day)宣布，该国每天损失超过55万桶石油产量。由于该国南部和东部的政治团体实施封锁，导致该国国家石油公司最近几天宣布几个主要油田和港口的产量遭遇不可抗力。鉴于欧盟仍在考虑禁止俄罗斯石油进口，市场波动可能很快会再次加剧。尽管哈萨克斯坦能源部长阿克丘拉科夫周三表示，里海管道联盟的黑海码头可能会在本周恢复满负荷运转。分析师说：“过去几天，欧盟针对禁止或逐步取消购买俄罗斯石油的讨论给市场带了来的影响有所减弱，但问题尚待解决。”由于石油输出国组织和以俄罗斯为首的合作伙伴(OPEC+)努力实现其生产目标，并且美国原油库存在截至4month15日的一周内急剧下降，石油市场仍然吃紧。IMF下调全球经济增长预期，且疫情担忧和能源储备的释放给油价压力。不过，俄罗斯原油出口受阻，欧佩克不愿意增产等因素支持油价。油价整体维持区间震荡的格局。

From a technical perspective, crude oil rebounded from a downward trend yesterday and ended flat, leading to a rebound104.0Under pressure nearby, the US market fell to99.90Low, but still rebounding and recovering to102.0One area. Daily Harvest Small CrossKLine. The daily line continues to fall into a wide range of oscillations, and in the medium term, it still needs to wait for a breakthrough before deciding its direction. Currently, it is still maintained within a wide range113-93.0The pulling saw between them.4hourKThe manifestation of the line shape is that after horizontal consolidation, the single yin plummets, followed by the single yang recovering nearly half of the lost ground. One yin and one yang have returned to the opening price, and currently the high resistance of small platforms is104.0.This bit is4The dividing point between strength and weakness of the hour, if weak, will be further supported today after the rebound correction at the end of last night104.0If hindered, it will continue to fall, and if broken, it will continue to return to touch high and fluctuate.1Small level interval sawing in the hour chart, yesterday's high and low points104-100It is the continuation point of today's bullish breakthrough. Conservative and other breakthroughs, while radical right-wing trading104.0下方择机短空，突破再调整思路。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路指南金师建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注105.5-106.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below102.2-101.7Frontline support.

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