Xiao Yizhou:4.21黄金晚间最新走势分析及操作策略指导。

　　【goldAnalysis of the Latest Market Trends
　　
Thursday(4month21day)，国际金价走弱，美债收益率反弹，增加持有非孳息资产的机会成本。但乌克兰危机及其对全球经济的潜在冲击仍支撑黄金避险需求。美国通胀年率创逾40年来最快增速，美联储将加快升息节奏的预期导致美债收益率走高。本周早些时候，由于对俄乌冲突和通胀压力上升的担忧增加了避险买需，黄金一度逼近2000美元重要整数关口。美联储周三公布的褐皮书显示，从2月中旬到4月初，美国经济以温和的速度扩张，高通胀和工人短缺对企业来说几乎没有喘息的机会。分析师表示：“由于没有突破2000美元的关键水平，人们可能已经决定获利了结。”他补充道，金价近期将在每盎司1940-1960美元区间内盘整。澳新银行公布的研报称：“地缘政治风险和通胀压力目前是黄金市场的两个主要驱动因素。美联储大幅加息预期可能会在短期内抑制价格，而供应冲击导致的通胀上升可能会减轻负面影响。”
　　
　　黄金从技术面来看，日线级别震荡；KDJDead fork,MACD轻微死叉，短线略微偏空，留意布林线中轨1944.58附近支撑，若收盘于该位置下方，则增加短线看空信号；进一步支撑在4month8Daily low point1926.70附近，该位置也接近55日均线，然后是4month6Daily low point1915.12附近，布林线下个支撑在1906.27Nearby. Preliminary resistance above4month14Daily low point1960.58Nearby, the rail resistance on the Brin line is1982.80附近，若能顶破该阻力，则则有望打开新的上涨通道。日线图上看，金价可能自1998US dollar starts to decline(c)Wave trend, downward support looking towards38.2%Target bit1929USD.(c)Waves are from2070The downward trend of the US dollar opening((ii))The sub waves of the waves.((ii))浪则是始于1779美元的上行5浪的子浪。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上萧毅舟建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1953-1955Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1925-1920Frontline support.
　　
　　crude oilLatest market analysis:
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday（4month21During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting103.29dollar/桶；油价周三波动不大，对经济增长和石油需求停滞的更广泛担忧与供应收紧的影响大体两相抵消。但随着乌克兰冲突升级，冲突持续时间延长的可能性增加，市场中来自俄罗斯的供应可能进一步减少。对经济增长和石油需求停滞的更广泛担忧与供应收紧的影响大体两相抵消。美国能源信息署(EIA)周三表示，上周美国原油库存大幅下降800万桶，因出口猛增至逾两年最高，这给市场带去支撑。各种生产中断加剧了人们对供应的担忧。石油输出国组织(OPEC)成员国利比亚的国家石油公司(NOC)表示，由于对部分主要油田和出口码头实施封锁，被迫关闭5510000 barrels/日的产能。分析师表示:“对欧洲的出口增加推动了强劲的出口，未来几周我们应该会继续看到这种势头。”总体来看，尽管美国库存骤降利好油价，俄乌冲突存进一步升级风险；但全球经济悲观预测下，需求或下降的担忧，油价或维持震荡；关注周五美联储鲍威尔参与的IMF经济讨论。
　　
From a technical perspective, crude oil rebounded from a downward trend yesterday and ended flat, leading to a rebound104.0Under pressure nearby, the US market fell to99.90Low, but still rebounding and recovering to102.0One area. Daily Harvest Small CrossKLine. The daily line continues to fall into a wide range of oscillations, and in the medium term, it still needs to wait for a breakthrough before deciding its direction. Currently, it is still maintained within a wide range113-93.0The pulling saw between them.4hourKThe manifestation of the line shape is that after horizontal consolidation, the single yin plummets, followed by the single yang recovering nearly half of the lost ground. One yin and one yang have returned to the opening price, and currently the high resistance of small platforms is104.0.This bit is4The dividing point between strength and weakness of the hour, if weak, will be further supported today after the rebound correction at the end of last night104.0If hindered, it will continue to fall, and if broken, it will continue to return to touch high and fluctuate.1Small level interval sawing in the hour chart, yesterday's high and low points104-100It is the continuation point of today's bullish breakthrough. Conservative and other breakthroughs, while radical right-wing trading104.0下方择机短空，突破再调整思路。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路萧毅舟建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注104.8-105.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below101.2-100.7Frontline support.