Chen Zeqiang:4.20黄金原油行情走势分析及操作策略附精准解套

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

Investment itself has no risk, only out of control investments have risk

　　俄乌局势方面再起波澜。俄乌冲突的第二阶段已经开始，俄罗斯对乌克兰东部发起了新一轮进攻。另据当地官员称，乌克兰西部城市利沃夫遭到4枚导弹袭击并发生爆炸。而美联储公布的3月会议纪要显示，与会决策者对通胀已在整个经济中扩大的担忧日益加深，这推动他们不仅将政策利率目标区间从近零水平上调25个基点。同时，更多的美联储官员发表鹰派讲话，强化了5Monthly interest rate hike50个基点的信号。隔夜布拉德表示，美联储需要迅速采取行动，在年底前将基准利率提高到3.5%左右；期间需要多次加息50个基点，并且不应排除加息75个基点的可能性。另外，如果通胀没有如预期下降，加速缩表可能会成为“B计划”。

　　gold近期突破1940区间压力，一路狂奔至1980关口受阻，在美国复活节之际，多头迎来获利回吐，承压1980关口快速下探1960关键位置，此波回调只为多头更好的上涨。本周俄乌避险情绪重燃，黄金在1960得以反弹回升，成功突破1980联排顶部突飞猛进2000大关附近。不过好戏不长，“鹰王”布拉德发话了。他称“美联储需要迅速采取行动”，黄金迎来大幅回落，直接吞没日内大部分涨势，并且失守1980Gateway.

　　隔夜冲高2000大关开始回落，收以长上引线，有流星线信号，已经失守1980关口，灵动指标STO也开始由超买区转头向下进行修复，代表高位还是有大量空头压制。今日黄金旧戏重演，熟悉的画面再次呈现，多次冲击1980关口受阻，美盘更是迎来瀑布回落，直接跌破1960前低至1950关口，跌幅高达30美金。相信关注陈泽强的朋友就知道，今日文章里本人多次强调1980关口的重要性，并且全网公开在1980-1982布局空单看继续下行走低。日内连续两次在1980布局的空都成功获利，特别是晚间布局的1981空完美狙击美盘高位迎来瀑布式下跌，成功收割美盘大部分跌势，在1966斩获出局，其走势和陈泽强预期完全一致，上看走势分析图就一目了然，只是冲高2000大关跌幅得以加速，提早演绎了。

　　4.20Golden Strategy:1958Near empty, stop loss1964, Objective1951-1945

　　crude oilMarket analysis:

　　原油盘面解读：

　　1Hour cycle at periodic high point109.70收黄昏之星形态，后续于108.60附近再收圆顶形态，顶部形态聚集，后市看下行；1Hourly cycleMA均线交叉粘合，反弹或已结束，后市将开启回落；1Hour cycle and15Minute cycleKDJ交叉向下指向看跌，后市看下行，但目前15Minute cycleKDJ已进入超卖状态，欧盘需关注其超卖状态的解除方式；1Hourly cycleRSI并未随行情新高而创新高，呈顶背离，后市看下行！

　　原油波浪结构：

　　原油整体仍处于大C浪下行之中，因行情不断破高，故我们需对C浪的小浪结构重新细分。目前可将行情视为C-2浪反弹，且C-2浪呈平台型调整浪abc结构展开，现行情于107.60收流星线，平台型调整浪的c浪或已提前结束，即C-2浪已完成。后市将步入C-3The waves are accelerating downward.

　　综上：建议108.50轻仓跟进空单，止损109.50，中长空单持有！

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting