Guide Metallographer:4.19今日受老天之托，来送你一份“大机缘”

If a ship doesn't know which port to sail to, then the wind in any direction will not be downwind. If the transaction cannot be executed as planned, any trend in the market will be fleeting. Orders are always done as one pleases, the market is always what one does not want, always wanting to control everything, but actually being in the game! In a big environment, one should know to be content with the situation, while in a small ordinary situation, one should know how to overcome difficulties. There is no once and for all leisure, nor is there any easy blessing, gradually realizing that living hard is the norm. If you want to get more, you must not be afraid of hard work, sink your heart, and go all out!

　　goldTrend analysis:

　　基本面，周一(4month18day)，国际金价升创3month11New high in recent days1998.2dollar/盎司，因俄乌危机恶化了风险情绪，并促使投资者转向黄金避险。美国3月通胀年率破八，创41年新高，成为美联储的心腹大患。火上浇油的是俄乌战争爆发，成为大宗商品价格失控上涨的催化剂，极大地增加了黄金的避险吸引力和对抗通胀的魅力。随着欧美多国决定抵制俄罗斯能源，本已遭遇瓶颈的供应链进一步收紧，这也导致了包括食品在内的所有其他商品价格联动大涨。美联储加快升息步伐即将成为现实，5月份料加息50个基点。然再度上摸2000美元关口可能是黄金面临阻力最小的走势路径，但2070美元以及历史峰值2075.47美元会成为更强大的阻力位。

　　周一现货黄金跳空高开，受周末俄乌暴发的地缘避险影响，黄金高开高走，日内最高触及1998一线，也符合了日线级别单阴修正的技术走势，目前黄金价格自1998一线遇阻回落，而2000一线是重要的心理关口，同时也是波段2070fall1890的反弹618阻力位附近，此位附近存在的压力较强，美盘博文中我们也给出了1988-2000附近的空单，目前已在1982一线离场，尾盘黄金持续走弱，价格突破前期关键顶底转换位1980First line, lowest touch1976一线，今日行情大概率会回补跳空缺口。

　　技术面，日线级别冲高回落收射击之星，是见顶信号，预示此次上涨有可能会在1998附近终结，不过还须后面进一步收线确认，下方关注5Daily moving average1970附近支撑得失，破位将跌向10Daily moving average1950一线，如果守住5日线黄金还有一次冲顶动作，4小时级别来看，黄金日内过山车，目前K线连阴，每根K线都留有长上影线，虽然反弹力度较强，但上方压力更强，目前布林带有收口迹象，5均线拐头向下，下方关注中轨1975一线支撑，破位将进一步向下轨1961附近发起冲击。而多空分水岭就在1960一线，破位趋势转空，守住后市仍看震荡上行。小时图价格已跌破早间起涨点，布林带向下开口，附图指标MACD死叉，因此日内操作上指南金师建议逢高做空看缺口回补，日内短线上方关注1985One line of resistance, pay attention below1971Frontline support.

　　crude oiltechnical analysis

　　原油今日跳空开盘107.180dollar/The barrel experienced a volatile rise after opening, reaching its highest point108.522dollar/Bucket hovering, breaking new lows, lowest given105.9Horizontal stabilization and rebound107.2区间震荡。国际局势再次升温，原油避险升温，今天出现跳空高开，消化完消息面的影响后产生回落回补缺口，日内原油高点出现在黄金分割61.8It is highly likely that the position of the bulls did not break through the intraday decline, and the daily level still maintains a bullish and strong position, structurally belonging to theBwavecThe rebound trend is still bullish, so today's support will focus on retracing the low point105.8美元支撑。综上总结：原油周线收大阳线，逆转之前偏空格局趋势转强，今日高开高走，关注多头延续，今日操作上考虑以回撤布局多单为主，上方关注110.6-113.9US dollar, strong resistance level at116.8USD, Focus on Downward Support105.8-104.2USD.

　　以上文章由指南金师团队znjc1555compose