Chen Zeqiang:4.18黄金高位区间震荡，欧盘黄金原油行情走势分...

When your talent cannot support your ambition, you need to calm down and learn. When your ability cannot control your goals, you should settle down and experience. Only through learning, trading, and summarizing, can you understand that you are truly not rejected by the market, just unwilling to change in the past. There are two types of investment: physiological investment, which is to solve food and clothing problems, and spiritual investment, which belongs to spiritual investment, It is about realizing the value of life, playing games and races against human greed and fear.

Investment itself has no risk, only out of control investments have risk

　　gold方面、周末俄乌局势升级，乌克兰拒绝俄罗斯提出的投降期限，乌克兰总统泽连斯基警告说，假如马里乌波尔最后一批乌军被杀，那么俄乌和平谈判将终结。据法新社报道，俄罗斯当地时间4month16日再次对乌首都基辅发动空袭。受避险情绪推升，黄金早间开盘跳空高开走强突破新高，最高触及1988.5Near.

　　目前形势来看，可能俄乌冲突短时间难以结束，但是俄乌冲突持续将近两个月时间。从俄乌冲突爆发开始，黄金第一次受避险情绪推升，价格上涨至2070快速回落进行了一个月的盘整修正，说明市场对于俄乌冲突开始麻木。早间黄金突破1980上方，由于近期走势呈现反复破高，所以再次破高本身意义并不大，关键还是破高之后的延续性，破高不延续就不能看待成极强，所以还是洗盘，思路上破高就是高空的机会。

　　从技术形态来看，黄金从上周1915附近企稳，围绕短期形成上升趋势线支撑呈阶梯式上涨，但是上涨的幅度明显减弱。早间破高，价格仍处于1990关键压制下方，由于复活节美盘今日继续休市，早间已经完成了一次上升动作，所以可以考虑依托1990上方作为防守去布局空。由于短期形态上偏强，建议轻仓操作，日内关键分水岭就在早间回撤地点，同时也是短期趋势线支撑附近空单回撤目标，任何时候见下破都可能反抽二次空。

　　crude oil方面、周四凌晨原油走强破高，早间原油跳空高空走强触及108.5附近，短期形成双顶压制，日内原油能否再次走强关键能否再次破高，否则需要防止承压修正回落。本轮上涨我们从94一路布局多，基本也完成做多目标，所以未突破短期双顶之前切勿再过分追多，至少短期做多的空间非常有限，做多的位置下方可参考回撤106.4-5缺口位置回补。

Gold:1988-90Void1993, Objective1975-76

Crude oil:106.4-5Loss105.4, Objective108nearby

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