郭晟衫：黄金下周开盘行情走势分析及独家操作建议

　成功的投资者，是善于独立思考，具有独特的见解，然而这独特的见解不是从天下掉下来，也不是从地下冒出来，是来自市场，来自实践，市场的实际走势才是千真万确，不会以人们的意愿而转变。在我的实践中也常常提醒自己，尽量使自己的投资理念、投资原则简单，投资成功就是一套赢利系统不断反复，简单，重复做，事情简单了也会就变得清晰了，对自己的投资行为约束也就变的有力

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Thursday（4month14At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in1974Near the US dollar; Previously, gold prices had been rising for six consecutive months, reaching a new high in nearly a month on Wednesday1981.49dollar/Ounces, due to US President Biden's announcement on Wednesday to provide Ukraine with8The additional military aid of billions of dollars has intensified expectations of worsening war, and rising consumer prices have enhanced the attractiveness of gold as an inflation hedge. Investors seem to have chosen to ignore the issue of the Federal Reserve's imminent interest rate hike. Analysts say that gold seems to have ignored the rising interest rates in the United States and is "particularly concerned about inflation". Market analysts mentioned that "although inflation in the United States may have peaked, traders are well aware that inflation will not drop from its current level overnight. Another key point is that if inflation does indeed peak, the future policy trajectory of the Federal Reserve will not be as hawkish as it is now, providing support for gold prices." Overall, Ukraine has warned the Russian military to launch a new offensive, and the United States has increased its support for Ukraine8Billion US dollars in military aid, increase in heavy weapons, United States3monthPPIChuangyue12The largest annual increase highlights that the Federal Reserve's fight against inflation is a tough battle, and geopolitical and inflation concerns are expected to provide further upward momentum for gold prices. In the short term, focus on the Bollinger Line and3month14Daily high point1990Near the double resistance, then3month10Daily high point2009.10Nearby resistance. But given the prospect of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and global central banks, can it be further breached2009The nearby resistance still needs further observation.

　　黄金技术面分析：从日线来看，黄金日线结构上，黄金连续6个交易日收阳，而其运行方向却是与美元同向的，这在本周以来一直显得非常的异常，导致这种现象的可能因素有两点，一是市场对俄乌局势的担忧，导致情绪化买盘增加；二是美通胀数据也使得黄金的避险买盘情绪增加，同时美指虽一直偏强，但也一直呈现欲调整状态，也给黄金注入一定的看涨预期。虽然目前黄金偏强，不过此状态下的走势还是很异常的，日线上可能会有一定的延续，但似乎有很难有绝对的多头动能来拉升，尤其是隔夜行情一直在1980下方反复多次的承压震荡，表明市场对于技术压力还是有担忧的。技术上如果行情能站稳1980上方，那么将有望去测试1990-2000压力，而拉升的动能可能并不是技术看涨力量，更多的可能会是基本面的突发消息刺激，比如当前俄乌局势一旦恶化，将会给黄金带来短时拉升的条件。日内下方则关注5Daily line1965附近支撑测试，而主要支撑依旧还是看下方均线带支撑1945-40Area.

　　盘中可以看到，黄金从1890反弹以来，盘中经历的多种运行结构：V型反转、三角震荡收敛、区间震荡盘整、单边上涨，最终的结果都是多头，目前从技术面来看，黄金就是明显多头，大结构这点不用过多分析；目前重点关注的就是，黄金能否延续性走高，还是已经接近见顶，黄金这波小单边属于阶梯式上涨，这种结构的上涨，随时面临回撤调整，郭晟衫个人认为黄金还有延续走高的空间，但是力度不会太大，短期有中空机会；我们判断顶部：第一就是强阻力、第二就是下方有效回撤，强阻力：1990-2000关口，这一区域也是前期的一个100多美金的强势下跌口，同时若能给到1990-2000关口，基本也能触发空头止损位，然后黄金再开始下跌；第二就是黄金有效回撤，这种回撤，若能连续破位三个低点：1970、1965、1960基本宣告上方有见顶迹象，接下来也可以找点位做空黄金；综合来看，黄金今日操作上郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注1985-1990Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1955-1950Frontline support.

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