Guo Shengshan:4.14黄金交易震荡行情如何操作？最新策略分析建议

　成功的投资者，是善于独立思考，具有独特的见解，然而这独特的见解不是从天下掉下来，也不是从地下冒出来，是来自市场，来自实践，市场的实际走势才是千真万确，不会以人们的意愿而转变。在我的实践中也常常提醒自己，尽量使自己的投资理念、投资原则简单，投资成功就是一套赢利系统不断反复，简单，重复做，事情简单了也会就变得清晰了，对自己的投资行为约束也就变的有力

　　goldAnalysis of the latest market trend

　　俄乌局势方面再起波澜。俄罗斯总统普京在俄白元首会谈后表示，乌克兰方面已经偏离了俄乌双方在伊斯坦布尔谈判期间达成的共识，重回“死胡同”状态。俄罗斯和乌克兰向乌东地区投入了增援部队，为可能发生的“最大战役”做准备。同时，也意味着战事第二阶段或即将开启，地缘局势担忧升温，给金价提供避险支撑。而美联储公布的3月会议纪要显示，与会决策者对通胀已在整个经济中扩大的担忧日益加深，这推动他们不仅将政策利率目标区间从近零水平上调25个基点。同时，更多的美联储官员发表鹰派讲话，强化了5Monthly interest rate hike50个基点的信号。美元指数续刷2020year5From the highest point since the beginning of the month to100.33, USA3Monthly consumer price index(CPI)Recorded16年半最大升幅，令美联储下月升息50个基点的可能性进一步增强。美国通胀数据基本符合预期，降低了美联储采取长期激进紧缩政策的可能性，导致美债收益率下降。而美元的持续走强，令金价涨势受限，尾盘形成冲高回落收低。

　　黄金从技术面来看，黄金昨日上涨收阳，守住前一日低点1940上方整理，欧美盘放量冲高，最高触及近期新高位1978.最终收盘收在中性位置1968.今日开盘小有回撤。日线形成连阳式偏强反弹，且有持续性，再次突破了此前的反抽确认高点1965.昨日二次突破后在1965一带跟多上看1975-1978一带完成了落袋。破坏了B浪高点的形成，且颈线1890未失守。短线进入重新摸高确认高点当中。而月线也是回补上影线，中期面临方向选择。是构造顶部三浪调整还是回踩修正后重新走强有待观察。4小时打破此前区间后，守住1940上方走延续反弹，顶开布林道一直在中轨之上运行，短线形态偏多，但日内短线走得迂回反复，加上美元的强势，使得黄金多头延续空间不定。虽然形态上偏多，但是持续性是一个问题。可能会加剧洗盘的频率。反复的冲高回撤。1小时图守住1950上方暂时处于上升通道中运行，多空强弱拐点留意1950的得失。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1985-1990Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1960-1955Frontline support.

Reference suggestions for gold operations:

Gold1980先空，止损放1986上方！目标看1965-1960，到达目标点位后出现企稳迹象可再反手多！

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday（4month14During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting103.48dollar/Barrels, oil prices rose sharply on Wednesday, and a significant increase in US crude oil inventories failed to alleviate concerns about global supply shortages. Major oil traders are expected to reduce their purchases of Russian oil; There is still a risk of uncertainty in the geopolitical situation between Russia and Ukraine. Analysts say that a significant increase in crude oil inventories may be an important thing, but the decline in gasoline and distillate fuel inventories has offset the potential negative impact of crude oil inventory data. The significant increase in US crude oil inventories has failed to alleviate concerns about global supply constraints, and major oil traders are expected to reduce their purchases of Russian oil. Russian President Putin has stated that Moscow can easily shift its massive energy resource exports from the West to other countries. Some countries, including India, have been purchasing Russian oil at significant discounts. US Energy Information Administration(EIA)On Wednesday, US crude oil inventories increased by more than900Ten thousand barrels, partly due to the release of national strategic reserve crude oil, while gasoline and distillate inventories decreased last week. Overall, although crude oil inventories in the United States have skyrocketed, there is still a risk of uncertainty in the situation in Russia and Ukraine. Major oil traders have reduced their purchases of Russian oil, increasing supply concerns and a strong oil price outlook; The rise of US stocks also boosted oil prices. Putin is expected to hold a meeting on the situation in the oil and natural gas sector during the day.

From a technical perspective, crude oil continued to rise and close higher yesterday, rebounding99.80Start stabilizing on the first line, then push up again, and refresh the week's high to104.68.Yesterday's plan99.50Going long did not give you an opportunity. A small step back. If the first entry point is not reached, it is easy to overlook the bulls' rhythm. The daily line continues to rise in both directions. Breaking the previous weakness and entering a volatile cycle, today's weekly closing work. The competition between long and short positions is still fierce, and the monthly line is in the midst of supplementing the upper shadow. It remains to be confirmed whether to confirm the high point and then fall back under pressure or to recover and rise strongly.4After breaking through the trend line of the downward channel during the hour, it continued to rise in volume, relying on98.80The breakthrough volume after the conversion support was achieved, while the top of the Bollinger track was opened, and the middle track experienced a slow rise in support. As the daily line and4The hours of continuous positive harvest are full, and there will be inertia in the short term, with more fluctuations in the short term rhythm. However, in the medium term, it is still in a long and short choice.1The hour chart forms a secondary small step that rises, reaching yesterday's low point99.80是今日的强弱分界点，由于回测空间略小，以横向强整理代替。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路郭晟衫建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注105.5-106.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below101.8-101.3Frontline support.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.