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goldAnalysis of the latest market trend
Thursday(4month14At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in1975Near the US dollar; Previously, gold prices had been rising for six consecutive months, reaching a new high in nearly a month on Wednesday1981.49dollar/Ounces, due to US President Biden's announcement on Wednesday to provide Ukraine with8The additional military aid of billions of dollars has intensified expectations of worsening war, and rising consumer prices have enhanced the attractiveness of gold as an inflation hedge. Investors seem to have chosen to ignore the issue of the Federal Reserve's imminent interest rate hike. Analysts say that gold seems to have ignored the rising interest rates in the United States and is "particularly concerned about inflation". Market analysts mentioned that "although inflation in the United States may have peaked, traders are well aware that inflation will not drop from its current level overnight. Another key point is that if inflation does indeed peak, the future policy trajectory of the Federal Reserve will not be as hawkish as it is now, providing support for gold prices." Overall, Ukraine has warned the Russian military to launch a new offensive, and the United States has increased its support for Ukraine8Billion US dollars in military aid, increase in heavy weapons, United States3monthPPIChuangyue12The largest annual increase highlights that the Federal Reserve's fight against inflation is a tough battle, and geopolitical and inflation concerns are expected to provide further upward momentum for gold prices. In the short term, focus on the Bollinger Line and3month14Daily high point1990Near the double resistance, then3month10Daily high point2009.10Nearby resistance. But given the prospect of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and global central banks, can it be further breached2009The nearby resistance still needs further observation.
From a technical perspective, gold continued to rise and close higher yesterday, with the US dollar rising and falling, and the gold price hitting a new high in recent times1981.30dollar|Ounces, after inertia reached a high point, fell into shock, and the rhythm belonged to an upward trend, but the continuity was not strong. It stopped when it reached a new high slightly. It is not a strong unilateral upward rhythm. The daily line forms a six consecutive positive trend, driving the attached pictureMACDindex0The golden fork of the shaft hooks upwards. The lunar line is in the middle of the touch up shadow line. The daily trend is upward. Tomorrow, due to Easter, the market will be closed all day. Today, the official week will be closed early. The short line rhythm still tends to continue to oscillate, with some brushing high but not strong persistence, with a walking style of one high and one step back.4The hourly chart is temporarily stable above the mid track and is more organized. Due to the slow growth of the structure and the support of the mid track, the short-term rhythm belongs to a fluctuating upward trend. It is not advisable to be bearish too early before falling behind the mid track,1The upward trend line of the hour chart supports upward movement1962.It was also yesterday's low and stable point. Short term support based on the rising line for defense, stepping back first, and putting the defensive point at the critical point1955.This position has been missed and the train of thought has been adjusted. There are frequent short term and long air switching, and in the session, it is necessary to flexibly respond to the situation by combining spatial forms. At present, the Asia Europe Pacific is tentatively set at the critical point1955上方回踩看短线多。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议回调低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1985-1990Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1955-1960Frontline support.
crude oilMarket trend analysis
油价周三大幅上涨,美国原油库存大幅增加未能缓解人们对全球供应紧张的担忧,预计主要石油交易商将减少购买俄罗斯石油;俄乌地缘局势仍存不确定性风险。日线双连阳走高。打破了此前的弱势进入震荡周期,今日周线收官之作。多空依旧争夺激烈,月线处于回补上影线当中,是确认高点再承压回落还是强势收复走高有待确认。原油昨日进一步延续上涨收高,回踩99.80一线启稳,再冲高,
4After breaking through the trend line of the downward channel during the hour, it continued to rise in volume, relying on98.80The breakthrough volume after the conversion support was achieved, while the top of the Bollinger track was opened, and the middle track experienced a slow rise in support. As the daily line and4The hours of continuous positive harvest are full, and there will be inertia in the short term, with more fluctuations in the short term rhythm. However, in the medium term, it is still in a long and short choice.1The hour chart forms a secondary small step that rises, reaching yesterday's low point99.80是今日的强弱分界点,所以综合分析操作上指南金师建议高位先空,上方关注104.5-105Resistance, pay attention below102-101.5Support.
本文由指南金师(wx:znjs1555 QQ:1503556243 )供稿,本人解读世界经济要闻,剖析全球投资大趋势,对原油、黄金、等大宗商品等有深入的研究,由于网络推送延迟性,以上内容属于个人建议,因网络发文有时效性,仅供参考,风险自担,转载请注明出处
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