Guo Shengshan:4.13黄金多天强势还会涨吗？黄金原油分析建议

Trading core values: Trading is like fighting, both attacking and defending. Defensive means advancing with retreat, while offensive means retreating with advance. When risks outweigh profits, a perfect retreat is far more meaningful than a partial victory. The highest level of trading is short positions. Only short positions can calm down, only calm down can observe, only observe can be a judge, and thus distinguish between strong and weak trends. As long as one stands against the strong or weak team, profit is just a passing act. Therefore, the first thing a trader needs to learn is to spend most of their time observing, rather than participating. It is not necessary to participate every time, but to seek a trade that can turn the tide with just one attempt. There is no one in this world who lives easier than anyone else. It's just the strong. Even if they fall, they should smile, never cry out for pain when they fall, or turn on the lights when they are afraid of the dark. The strong are not born, they have just experienced more setbacks.

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday（4month13日）亚洲时段，现货黄金延续震荡偏强；金价周二上涨，现货黄金一度涨逾1%, refresh3month14The highest point since the beginning of the day1978.54dollar/盎司，因美国通胀数据基本符合预期，降低了美联储采取长期激进紧缩政策的可能性，导致美债收益率下降。指标10年期美债收益率下滑，因数据显示3月通胀加速，但逊于许多市场人士的预期；尽管黄金被视为通胀对冲工具，但物价上涨可能导致各国央行升息，推高债券收益率，并增加持有非孽息黄金的机会成本。分析师表示，如果我们继续看到核心通胀不会飙升到与整体通胀相同的程度，美联储可能不会像核心通胀走高时那么激进。市场分析师称，黄金继续受益于强劲的通胀数据提供的顺风。包括周二的CPI读数，一些人认为这是美国本轮通胀达到顶峰的前奏。美国通胀数据基本符合预期，降低了美联储采取长期激进紧缩政策的可能性，导致美债收益率下降。而美元的持续走强，令金价涨势受限，尾盘形成冲高回落收低。

　　黄金从技术面来看，黄金昨日上涨收阳，守住前一日低点1940上方整理，欧美盘放量冲高，最高触及近期新高位1978.最终收盘收在中性位置1968.今日开盘小有回撤。日线形成连阳式偏强反弹，且有持续性，再次突破了此前的反抽确认高点1965.昨日二次突破后在1965一带跟多上看1975-1978一带完成了落袋。破坏了B浪高点的形成，且颈线1890未失守。短线进入重新摸高确认高点当中。而月线也是回补上影线，中期面临方向选择。是构造顶部三浪调整还是回踩修正后重新走强有待观察。4小时打破此前区间后，守住1940上方走延续反弹，顶开布林道一直在中轨之上运行，短线形态偏多，但日内短线走得迂回反复，加上美元的强势，使得黄金多头延续空间不定。虽然形态上偏多，但是持续性是一个问题。可能会加剧洗盘的频率。反复的冲高回撤。1小时图守住1950上方暂时处于上升通道中运行，多空强弱拐点留意1950的得失。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1985-1990Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1945-1950Frontline support.

　　crude oilTrend analysis:

Yesterday, the US crude oil market opened in the morning94.857dollar/桶，后行情小幅回踩94.426dollar/桶，后行情拉升，日线强势拉升，破位99压力后最高触及到了100.868dollar/Bucket, after market consolidation, the daily line finally closed at100.553dollar/桶，后行情以一根上影线稍长的大阳线收线，今日原油延续看反弹。

　　4Hour from93.0一带低位启稳后，走出一波强势的连阳反弹，先是小碎阳整理蓄势，再突破关键的阻力点形成放量上涨，布林带底轨站上中轨再顶开上轨，走得较为强势，消息方面起到助推作用，使得短线改变了形态，突破98.80后，今日短线还会适当延续，综上所述郭晟衫总结：原油出现了触底反弹走势，价格破新低后出现一波上涨，并且上涨幅度比较大，今日操作上考虑高空低多策略，上方阻力位关注103.0dollar-104.0USD, below support attention98.4-97.4USD support.

The above article was created by Guo Shengshan's teamgos1678撰写，本人解读世界经济要闻,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.